Auburn at Mississippi State - 11/5/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Auburn Tigers will play the Mississippi State Bulldogs in a SEC Game on Saturday night at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi.

The Auburn Tigers are 3-5 (1-4) this season after they lost to Arkansas by a score of 41-27 in their last game. Auburn allowed Arkansas to gain 520 total yards and go for 8-14 on third down attempts in the loss. The Auburn offense is averaging 22.9 points per game with 217.3 passing yards per game and 171.8 rushing yards per game. Robby Ashford has thrown for 1,299 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions, while also rushing for 397 yards and three touchdowns for the Tigers this season. Tank Bigsby has rushed for 587 yards and seven scores, while Ja’Varius Johnson has caught 22 passes for 399 yards and one touchdown for Auburn. The Auburn defense is giving up 29.9 points per game and 407.1 yards per game.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 5-3 (2-3) this season after they lost to Alabama by a score of 30-6 in their last game. Mississippi State out gained Alabama by a total of 293-290, but turned the ball over once and had three turnovers on downs in the loss. The Mississippi State offense is averaging 31.3 points per game with 321.6 passing yards per game and 89.1 rushing yards per game. Will Rogers has thrown for 2,555 yards, 23 touchdowns, and four interceptions for the Bulldogs this season. Dillon Johnson (questionable) has rushed for 407 yards and three touchdowns, while Rara Thomas has caught 30 passes for 456 yards and three scores for Mississippi State. The Mississippi State defense is allowing 22.9 points per game and 364.5 yards per game.

Auburn is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 November games. The under is 10-4 in Auburn’s last 14 road games. Mississippi State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 November games. The over is 4-0 in Mississippi State’s last 4 home games. The under is 12-5 in these two teams last 17 head to head meetings.

Auburn comes into this game on a four game losing streak, with three of those losses coming by at least 13 points. Mississippi State has lost two games in a row, but will be at home for this game. Auburn has played better on offense over the last two weeks, but their defense has allowed 41+ points in each of their last three games. I like the over in this game and expect Mississippi State to score 40+ points as well.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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