Texas at Kansas State - 11/5/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Texas Longhorns will head to Manhattan and take on the Kansas State Wildcats this Saturday evening from Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium on FS1. Texas and KState have faced off over 15 times since becoming Big 12 foes back in ‘98. The Longhorns narrowly hold a series lead, 12-10, after winning five straight matchups.

Texas is 5-3 after falling to Oklahoma State in Week 8. The Longhorns found themselves in trouble in Stillwater versus the Cowboys, and a stagnant fourth quarter led to their third loss of the season. Texas is scoring 36.4 points per game, while passing for 261.9 yards per game (81st), and rushing for 182.9 yards per game (77th). The Longhorn defense allows 21.2 points per game.

Quinn Ewers’ has helped bring some legitimacy back to the Texas football program, but he was very uncomfortable on the road last weekend. After completing less  than 40% of his passes and tossing three interceptions versus in Stillwater, how he fares in Manhattan remains to be seen. Ewers has passed for 1,139 yards with eleven touchdowns to five interceptions through five starts.

Bijan Robinson has been outstanding again this season, and he’s on-pace to surpass last season’s total. The junior back has eclipsed the 125-yard mark in each of the past five games, going for 140 yards and a score versus the Cowboys last time out. Robinson is among Big 12 leaders with 920 yards rushing and 11 touchdowns, while adding 280 receiving yards. Xavier Worthy has been dynamic again outside for the Longhorns, leading the team in receptions (36), receiving yards (510), and touchdown catches (7). Jordan Whittington right behind him with 29 catches for 404 yards and a score.

Kansas State improved to 6-2 after shutting out Oklahoma State. The Wildcats jumped out to a 35-point halftime lead, and outgained the Cowboys 495-217. Kansas State scores 31.2 points per game, while passing for 185.6 yards per game (220th), and rushing for 228.2 ypg (21st). The KState defense allows 17.2 points per game.

Aside from USC’s haul, Adrian Martinez may have been the best signing from the transfer portal. The former Nebraska quarterback could never get over the hump in Lincoln, but he’s figured things out here. His status will be worth monitoring after missing each of the last two games with a knee injury. Will Howard stepped up to the plate last time out, tossing four touchdowns in the win over Oklahoma State.

Deuce Vaughn has been one of the most consistent backs in the country. The 5’6 back nearly matched a season-high versus the Cowboys, going for 158 yards and scoring three touchdowns. Vaughn is among Big 12 leaders with 902 rushing yards and five scores. Fifth-year wideout Malik Knowles is on pace for a new personal-best, and he leads KState with 32 receptions for 447 yards. 

Texas is 5-3 against the spread this season, with a 1-2 record on the road. Kansas State is 5-3 against the spread this season, with a 4-1 record at home. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Texas can not overlook this purple team in spite of TCU coming to town next weekend. What KState was able to do to an Oklahoma State team that just beat Texas, without stud QB Adrian Martinez is alarming, and must be acknowledged heading into this one. 

The Longhorns have a big chance to play spoiler next weekend, but this Saturday, they may be running into the wrong team at the wrong time. Spot KState the points here.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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