Baylor at Texas Tech - 10/29/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Baylor Bears and Texas Tech Horned Frogs face off on Saturday in a Big 12 college football showdown at Jones AT&T Stadium. The home team has won the last three games played between the two teams. 

Baylor comes into this game with a 4-3 record and they are coming off a solid victory in the last game. The offense scored 35 points against Texas Tech, and that was enough to win by 12 points. Quarterback Blake Shapen completed 17 of his 26 passes for 164 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Two games ago against West Virginia, they were competitive but ended up losing 43-40. Baylor is averaging 37.4 points while their defense is giving up 24.1 points per game. The offense is ranked 19th in the league, and they are going to need to run up the score again here. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Texas Tech Red Raiders who sit with a 4-3 record overall and they are coming off a win in the last game. Texas Tech put up 48 points against West Virginia, and that was enough to secure the 38-point victory. Behren Morton completed 28 of his 45 passes for 325 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Tahj Brooks rushed 17 times for 107 yards and two touchdowns. Texas Tech is averaging 35 points while their defense is giving up 27.6 points per game. 

Baylor is 20-7 in their last 27 against the spread in their last 27 games against a team with a winning record. Texas Tech is 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games. The over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Texas Tech. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings played between the two teams. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings played between Baylor and Texas Tech. 

Baylor won the last game against Kansas but Shapen had two interceptions in the last game, and I’m not so sold that he’s going to have a big game here. Texas Tech is coming off a game where they scored 48 points, and I expect they are going to find success here again. Morton is going to have a big game for Texas Tech and the Red Raiders will cover the spread. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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