UCF at East Carolina - 10/22/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

East Carolina Pirates (4-3) vs UCF Knights (5-1)

Game Info: Saturday, October 22, 2022 at 7:30 pm (Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium)

Betting Odds: East Carolina Pirates +4.5 -- Over/Under: 63.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The UCF Knights will play the East Carolina Pirates in an AAC Game on Saturday night at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Greenville, North Carolina.

The UCF Knights are 5-1 (2-0) this season after they defeated Temple by a score of 70-13 in their last game. UCF out gained Temple by a total of 737-293 and went 8-9 on third down attempts. UCF is averaging 41.3 points per game with 264 passing yards per game and 261.2 rushing yards per game. John Rhys Plumlee has thrown for 1,516 yards, 11 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while also rushing for 468 yards and seven touchdowns for the Knights this season. Isaiah Bowers has rushed for 315 yards and nine scores, while Javon Baker has caught 25 passes for 403 yards and two touchdowns for UCF. The UCF defense is giving up 14.3 points per game and 339.2 yards per game.

The East Carolina Pirates are 4-3 (2-2) this season after they defeated Memphis in four overtimes by a score of 47-45 in their last game. East Carolina went 10-15 on third down attempts and forced two turnovers in the win. East Carolina is averaging 33.1 points per game with 309 passing yards per game and 165.7 rushing yards per game. Holton Ahlers has thrown for 2,124 yards, 17 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Pirates this season. Keaton Mitchell has rushed for 582 yards and six scores, while Isaiah Winstead has caught 52 passes for 719 yards and three touchdowns for East Carolina. The ECU defense is allowing 24.6 points per game and 388.1 yards per game.

UCF is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and 8-18 ATS in their last 26 conference games. The under is 4-1 in UCF’s last 5 games. East Carolina is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 October games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. The over is 4-1 in East Carolina’s last 5 games on grass. The over is 8-3 in these two teams last 11 head to head meetings.

UCF is coming off of two very lopsided wins against Temple and SMU, while East Carolina had a thrilling overtime win last week. Both of these offenses have been very good this year, but the UCF defense has been great. UCF is only allowing 14.3 points per game and I think their defense will be the difference here. I am taking the Knights.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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