Cincinnati at SMU - 10/22/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

SMU Mustangs (3-3) vs Cincinnati Bearcats (5-1)

Game Info: Saturday, October 22, 2022 at 12:00 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

Betting Odds: SMU Mustangs +3.5 -- Over/Under: 58.5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cincinnati Bearcats and SMU Mustangs face off on Saturday in a college football showdown at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2021 it was Cincinnati that secured 48-14. 

The SMU Mustangs come into this game with a 3-3 record overall but they are coming off a win in their last game against Navy. It actually wasn’t that close until they were outscored 20-7 in the 4th quarter. Tanner Mordecai completed 20 of his 27 passes for 336 yards, three touchdowns, and zero interceptions. SMU is averaging 35.5 points while their defense is giving up 29.5 points per game. SMU’s offense has been good, but the defense has been an issue at times for this season. 

On the other side of this matchup is Cincinnati who sits with a 5-1 record and the only loss came against Arkansas. In the last game against South Florida, it was a lot closer than many expected but they still won by four points. Under center this season for Cincinnati is Ben Bryant and he completed 15 of his 21 passes for 178 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. Running back Charles McDonald also had a big game finishing with 21 carries for 179 yards and two touchdowns. The Bearcats are averaging 38.2 points while their defense is giving up 21.2 points per game. In this game, the Bearcats need to limit turnovers. 

Cincinnati is 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five conference games. Cincinnati is 0-3-1 against the spread in their last four road games. SMU is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the last six meetings played between the two teams. Cincinnati is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings against SMU. 

Cincinnati played down to their competition in the last game beating South Florida by only four points and that will happen again here. Mordecai is going to have a big game against the Bearcats defense, and that is going to be the difference here. Look for SMU to keep it within a field goal, and it wouldn’t shock me if they pull the upset. Back SMU against the spread.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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