Navy at SMU - 10/14/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

SMU Mustangs (2-3) vs Navy Midshipmen (2-3)

Game Info: Friday, October 14, 2022 at 7:30 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

Betting Odds: SMU Mustangs -12.5 -- Over/Under: 57.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Navy Midshipmen will play the SMU Mustangs in an AAC Game on Friday night at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas.

The Navy Midshipmen are 2-3 (2-1) this season after they defeated Tulsa by a score of 53-21 in their last game. Navy rushed for 455 yards and forced four turnovers in the win. The Navy offense is averaging 21.2 points per game with 110 passing yards per game and 231.8 rushing yards per game. Tai Lavatai has thrown for 524 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 147 yards and three touchdowns for the Midshipmen this season. Daba Fofana has rushed for 275 yards and three scores, while Vincent Terrell Jr. has caught five passes for 146 yards and one touchdown for Navy. The Navy defense is giving up 21 points per game and 348.6 yards per game.

The SMU Mustangs are 2-3 (0-1) this season after they lost to UCF by a score of 41-19 last week. SMU led this game 13-10 at halftime, but gave up 31 second half points in the loss. The SMU offense is averaging 34.6 points per game with 355 passing yards per game and 145.2 rushing yards per game. Tanner Mordecai has thrown for 1,680 yards, 12 touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Mustangs this season. Tre Siggers has rushed for 229 yards and four scores, while Rashee Rice has caught 46 passes for 687 yards and four touchdowns for SMU. The SMU defense is allowing 28.6 points per game and 416.8 yards per game.

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Navy is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The under is 5-1 in Navy’s last 6 road games. SMU is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. The under is 4-1 in SMU’s last 5 games. The home team is 5-0 ATS in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings.

Navy has bounced back from a very poor start to the season has played much better in their last three games. SMU has one of the best passing attacks in the country, but their defense is giving up over 400 yards per game. SMU is going to struggle to stop the Navy rushing attack, so I am taking Navy in this game.

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David’s Pick Navy +12.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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