Liberty at UMass - 10/8/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Liberty Flames and UMass Minutemen face off on Saturday in a Week 6 college football showdown at McGuirk Alumni Stadium. In 2021 it was Liberty that secured the 62-17 victory. 

Liberty comes into this game with a 4-1 record overall and they are coming off another big win over Old Dominion. Liberty scored 38 points, and they were able to secure the 14-point victory. Liberty has played two quarterbacks all season, and it was no different in the last game. Kaidon Salter completed 10 of his 19 passes for 170 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. Jonathan Bennett completed 7 of his 9 passes for 98 yards and a touchdown. Liberty is averaging 29 points while their defense is giving up 22.8 points per game. The only loss for Liberty was against Wake Forest, and even in that game, they scored 36 points. 

On the other side of this matchup is UMass who sit with a 1-4 record overall and they are coming off a loss in their last game. Against Eastern Michigan, UMass only managed 13 points, and that led to the seven-point defeat. Quarterback Gino Campiotti struggled to throw the ball in the last game, but he was good on the ground. He rushed 25 times for 118 yards and a touchdown. The Minutemen’s offense has really struggled and they are averaging only 10.6 points per game. The defense hasn’t been a whole lot better and is giving up 29.6 points per game. 

Liberty is 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 games against a team with a losing record. UMass is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games against a team with a winning record. The over is 3-0-1 in Liberty’s last four games in October. 

Liberty beat UMass 62-17 in the last game and they are going to have no issue getting the job done here. Liberty is an elite offensive team, especially against bad defenses, and that’s exactly what UMass has. Liberty might not score 62 points here, but they are going to score plenty, and they are going to have no issue getting the job done here. Back Liberty against the spread to cash here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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