SMU at UCF - 10/5/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

UCF Knights (3-1) vs SMU Mustangs (2-2)

Game Info: Wednesday, October 5, 2022 at 7:00 pm (FBC Mortgage Stadium)

Betting Odds: UCF Knights -3.5 -- Over/Under: 64.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The SMU Mustangs will play the UCF Knights in an American Athletic Conference Game on Wednesday night at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, Florida.

The SMU Mustangs are 2-2 this season after they lost to TCU by a score of 42-34 in Week 4. SMU played well in this game, but lost the turnover battle 2-0 in the loss. The SMU offense is averaging 38.5 points per game with 353 passing yards per game and 153.3 rushing yards per game. Tanner Mordecai has thrown for 1,385 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Mustangs this season. Tre Siggers has rushed for 200 yards and four touchdowns, while Rashee Rice has caught 34 passes for 565 yards and four touchdowns for SMU. The SMU defense is giving up 25.5 points per game and 400 yards per game.

The UCF Knights are 3-1 this season after they defeated Georgia Tech by a score of 27-10 in their last game. UCF was actually outgained 438-333, but did force two turnovers and three turnovers on downs. The UCF offense is averaging 34.3 points per game with 206.8 passing yards per game and 275.8 rushing yards per game. John Rhys Plumlee has thrown for 827 yards, five touchdowns, and three interceptions, while also rushing for 404 yards and four touchdowns for the Knights this season. Isaiah Bowser has rushed for 228 yards and five scores, while Javon Baker has caught 18 passes for 257 yards and two touchdowns for UCF. The UCF defense is allowing 13.5 points per game and 313 yards per game.

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SMU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0 in SMU’s last 4 road games. UCF is 6-18 ATS in their last 24 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. The under is 5-1 in UCF’s last 6 games. The home team is 8-0-1 ATS in these two teams last 9 head to head meetings.

SMU nearly fought back against TCU, but came up just shy in their comeback attempt. UCF struggled with Georgia Tech for a few quarters before finally pulling away. SMU does not have much of a defense, so the UCF offense should have a big day. I think this game will be similar to the SMU/TCU game last week. I like the over here.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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