Virginia at Duke - 10/1/22 College Football Picks and Predictions

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The Virginia Cavaliers and Duke Blue Devils face off on Saturday in a Week 5 college football showdown at Wallace Wade Stadium. In 2021 it was Virginia that secured the 48-0 victory. 

Virginia comes into this game with a 2-2 record overall but they are coming off another disappointing loss in their last game. At halftime, Virginia was down 16-0 against Syracuse, and they made a comeback but it wasn’t enough as they were defeated 22-20. Under center for the Cavaliers is Brennan Armstrong and in the last game, he completed 19 of his 38 passes for 138 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Running back Perris Jones rushed for 87 yards and a touchdown. Virginia’s offense is averaging 18.3 points while their defense is giving up 19.3 points per game. 

On the other side of this matchup is Duke who come into this game with a 3-1 record but they suffered their first loss in the last game against the Kansas Jayhawks. Duke scored 27 points, but the defense gave up 35 points and that led to the defeat. Under center for Duke is Riley Leonard and he is having a strong season. In the last game, he completed 24 of his 35 passes for 324 yards and a touchdown. Duke is averaging 34.3 points while their defense is giving up 19.5 points per game. 

Virginia is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games. Duke is 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games. The Cavaliers are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 meetings in Duke. Virginia is 7-0 against the spread in their last seven meetings against Duke. 

This is a hard game to call just because I’m not sure I’m ready to trust either of these teams. I think this game is going to come down to the quarterback play, and Duke has a big advantage there. Leonard threw for 324 yards in the last game and he’s going to find success again against this Virginia defense. Armstrong just isn’t going to lead Virginia to enough offense to keep this game close. Back Duke against the spread. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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