LSU at Auburn - 10/1/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The LSU Tigers and Auburn Tigers meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The LSU Tigers look to build on their 3-game winning streak. The Auburn Tigers look to build on their 3-1 record.

The LSU Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 road games. Jayden Daniels is completing 73 percent of his passes for 835 yards, 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. have combined for 461 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jaray Jenkins has 13 receptions. The LSU Tigers ground game is averaging 198.8 yards per contest, and Daniels leads the way with 262 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, LSU is allowing 14.3 points and 257.8 yards per game. Harold Perkins Jr. leads the LSU Tigers with 20 tackles, Sai'vion Jones has 2.5 sacks and Micah Baskerville has 1 interception.

The Auburn Tigers have won 7 of their last 11 home games. T.J. Finley is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 431 yards, 1 touchdown and 4 interceptions. Ja'Varrius Johnson and Shedrick Jackson have combined for 372 receiving yards on 23 catches, while John Samuel Shenker has 9 receptions. The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 174 yards per contest, and Tank Bigsby leads the way with 281 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 21.8 points and 350.3 yards per game. Cam Riley leads the Auburn Tigers with 30 tackles, Derick Hall has 3 sacks and D.J. James has 4 pass deflections.

The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October. The under is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games overall. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Auburn and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

The LSU Tigers should be favored, but this line is a little too thick for my taste, knowing that Auburn can still get after it defensively and Jordan-Hare Stadium is never an easy place to play. Also, while talented and the better team, LSU can be sloppy with the ball at times that would certainly allow a home dog to hang around. We're getting more than a free touchdown with Auburn at home. I'll take my chances.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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