Louisiana-Monroe at Arkansas State - 10/1/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The UL Monroe Warhawks and Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at Centennial Bank Stadium. The UL Monroe Warhawks look to get a game above a .500 record. The Arkansas State Red Wolves look to snap a 3-game losing streak.

The UL Monroe Warhawks haven’t won a road game since October 2019. Chandler Rogers is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 649 yards, 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Tyrone Howell and Kevin Frett have combined for 307 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Alred Luke has 7 receptions. The UL Monroe Warhawks ground game is averaging 143.5 yards per contest, and Andrew Henry leads the way with 168 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing 34.8 points and 389 yards per game. Tristan Driggers leads the UL Monroe Warhawks with 16 tackles, Cooper Webb has 1 sack and Deuce Mayberry has 1 interception.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have lost 5 of their last 6 home games. James Blackman is completing 67.5 percent of his passes for 958 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception. Champ Flemings and Seydou Traore have combined for 463 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jeff Foreman has 6 receptions. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 149.8 yards per contest, and Johnnie Lang leads the way with 219 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 30.3 points and 379.3 yards per game. Melique Straker leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 29 tackles, Dennard Flowers has 2 sacks and Eddie Smith has 1 interception.

The Warhawks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games in October. The Red Wolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The under is 7-1 in Warhawks last 8 games overall. The under is 9-2 in Red Wolves last 11 games overall. The Warhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Arkansas St and 0-12 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

It's fair to say the Arkansas State Red Wolves have been the more impressive team up to this point against better competition as well. The UL Monroe Warhawks has an offense that can't finish drives, and their defense is below average across the board. You could argue Arkansas State should be an even bigger favorite in this spot. I'll lay the points.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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