New Mexico at UNLV 9/30/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

UNLV Rebels (3-1) vs New Mexico Lobos (2-2)

Game Info: Friday, September 30, 2022 at 11:00 pm (Allegiant Stadium)

Betting Odds: UNLV Rebels -13.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New Mexico Lobos and UNLV Rebels face off on Friday in a Week 5 college football showdown at Allegiant Stadium. Last season, it was UNLV that secured the 31-17 victory. 

UNLV comes into this game sitting with a 3-1 record, and the only loss came by six points against Cal. In the last game against Utah State, UNLV scored 34 points and that was enough to secure the 10 points. Under center for UNLV is Doug Brumfield and in the last game, he completed 21 of his 31 passes for 217 yards and a touchdown. Aidan Robbins also had a big game, finishing with 28 rushes for 81 yards and a touchdown. Utah State is averaging 39.5 points, while their defense is giving up 23 points per game. The offense is ranked 25th, and the offense is going to need to be good and strong in this game. 

On the other side of this matchup is New Mexico, and they come into this game sitting with a 2-2 record. New Mexico’s two wins came over UTEP and Maine. The Maine win was expected, but against UTEP the defense locked down, giving up only 10 points and that led to the 17-point victory. In the last game against LSU, the offense couldn’t get anything going, and the defense gave up 38 points on the way to the defeat. Miles Kendrick completed 5 of his 7 passes for 47 yards. New Mexico is averaging 20.5 points, while their defense is giving up 19.8 points per game. 

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New Mexico is 15-36-1 against the spread in their last 52 games overall. UNLV is 4-0 against the spread in their last four games. The under is 6-1 in New Mexico’s last seven games overall. The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams. New Mexico is 3-7 against the spread in the last 10 meetings against UNLV. 

I don’t trust this New Mexico offense, and they are going to have some major issues in this game, scoring. Brumfield is a strong quarterback for UNLV, and the Rebels are going to run up the score against the Lobos defense. This feels like a 31-10 type of game, and UNLV will cover the spread. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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