Toledo at San Diego State - 9/24/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The San Diego State Aztecs and Toledo Rockets clash Saturday afternoon in a week 4 college football game at Snapdragon Stadium. The San Diego State Aztecs need a win to get back to a .500 record. The Toledo Rockets look to get off to a 3-1 start. 

The San Diego State Aztecs have won 7 of their last 10 home games. Braxton Burmeister is completing 52.5 percent of his passes for 165 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Jesse Matthews and Tyrell Shavers have combined for 109 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Josh Nicholson has 2 receptions. The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 221 yards per contest, and Jaylon Armstead leads the way with 160 yards on 15 carries. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 26.7 points and 399 yards per game. Michael Shawcroft leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 20 tackles, Garret Fountain has 1 sack and Patrick McMorris has 2 pass deflections.

The Toledo Rockets have won 4 of their last 6 road games. Dequan Finn is completing 58.9 percent of his passes for 541 yards, 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jerjuan Newton and DeMeer Blankumsee have combined for 325 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jamal Turner has 3 receptions. The Toledo Rockets ground game is averaging 194.7 yards per contest, and Finn leads the way with 208 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 29 points and 376.3 yards per game. Dallas Gant leads the Toledo Rockets with 24 tackles, Andre Fuller has 1 sack and Zachary Ford has 1 interception.

The Rockets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games and 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 7-1 in Rockets last 8 games overall. The under is 34-16-1 in Aztecs last 51 games overall.

I’m not sure what the Toledo Rockets have done or who they’ve beaten to get this respect on the road, but it’s a little bizarre. Yes, the San Diego State Aztecs have had their struggles as well through 3 games, but they’re still a physical team in the trenches, they’re a top-25 rushing offense, and they’ve been one of the better home teams over the last 3 years. San Diego State has also played respectable teams, which prepares them for games like this. Give me the Aztecs in this near pick em game.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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