TCU at SMU - 9/24/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The SMU Mustangs and TCU Horned Frogs square off Saturday afternoon in a week 4 college football contest at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The SMU Mustangs look to get off to a 3-1 start. The TCU Horned Frogs look for their first 3-0 start since the 2017 season. 

The SMU Mustangs have won 6 of their last 7 home games. Tanner Mordecai is completing 59.8 percent of his passes for 1,013 yards, 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Rashee Rice and Jordan Kerley have combined for 624 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while RJ Maryland has 4 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 169.7 yards per contest, and TJ McDaniel leads the way with 156 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 20 points and 376.7 yards per game. Isaac Slade-Matautia leads the SMU Mustangs with 22 tackles, Elijah Chatman has 2.5 sacks and Nick Roberts has 1 interception.

The TCU Horned Frogs have lost 4 of their last 6 road games. Max Duggan is completing 78.1 percent of his passes for 417 yards, 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Jordan Hudson and Taye Barber have combined for 159 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Blake Nowell has 4 receptions. The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 227.5 yards per contest, and Kendre Miller leads the way with 108 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 15 points and 321.5 yards per game. Jamoi Hodge leads the TCU Horned Frogs with 10 tackles, Dee Winters has 1 sack and Jaionte McMillan has 1 interception.

The Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Mustangs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 road games. The under is 4-1 in Mustangs last 5 games overall. The road team is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

The TCU Horned Frogs are more attractive in the underdog role because they’ve had an extra week to prepare for this contest. However, it’s fair to say this isn’t the most talented TCU team we’ve seen, and the jury is still out on just how good this squad can be. The SMU Mustangs are on fire offensively and despite their loss to Maryland, they proved there’s enough here to make a run in the AAC and be a serious factor the remainder of the season. I’m not sure TCU has the horses needed to last in this contest. I’ll grab the free points with the Mustangs.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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