Texas State at Baylor - 9/17/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Texas State Bobcats will play the Baylor Bears in a non-conference game on Saturday afternoon at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas.

The Texas State Bobcats are 1-1 this season after defeating FIU by a score of 41-12 last week. Texas State outgained FIU 452-313 and forced two turnovers in the win. The Texas State offense is averaging 27.5 points per game with 257.5 passing yards per game and 107 rushing yards per game. Layne Hatcher has thrown for 515 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions for Texas State. Calvin Hill has rushed for 210 yards and one score, while Ashtyn Hawkins has caught 14 passes for 137 yards and three touchdowns for the Bobcats this season. The Texas State defense is allowing 25 points per game and 295.5 yards per game.

The Baylor Bears are 1-1 this season after losing to BYU in double overtime by a score of 26-20 in Week 2. Baylor had multiple chances to win this game but poor execution and questionable play calling ended with a loss. The Baylor offense is averaging 44.5 points per game with 225.5 passing yards per game and 205.5 rushing yards per game. Blake Shapen has thrown for 351 yards and three touchdowns for Baylor this year. Qualan Jones has rushed for 126 yards and three touchdowns, while Hal Presley has caught six passes for 87 yards and one score for the Bears. The Baylor defense has allowed 18 points per game and 301.5 yards per game.

Texas State is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. The under is 6-2 in Texas State’s last 8 games. Baylor is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. The under is 6-1 in Baylor’s last 7 games.

Baylor had a very disappointing Week 2 loss to BYU and seemingly was unable to throw the ball late in the game. Texas State had a nice win against FIU, but FIU is not good this year. Baylor should run away with this game based on the talent discrepancy and the Baylor ground game. I like Baylor to bounce back with a big win as they control the time of possession.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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