BYU at Oregon - 9/17/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

Oregon Ducks (1-1) vs BYU Cougars (2-0)

Game Info: Saturday, September 17, 2022 at 3:30 pm (Autzen Stadium)

Betting Odds: Oregon Ducks -3.5 -- Over/Under: 57 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Oregon Ducks and BYU Cougars square off Saturday night in week 3 college football action at Autzen Stadium. The Oregon Ducks look to get a game above a .500 record. The BYU Cougars look for a third straight 3-0 start to a season. 

The Oregon Ducks haven’t lost a home game since September 2018. Bo Nix is completing 70 percent of his passes for 450 yards, 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Troy Franklin and Dont’e Thornton have combined for 198 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Terrance Ferguson has 7 receptions. The Oregon Ducks ground game is averaging 210.5 yards per contest, and Sean Dollars leads the way with 91 yards on 13 carries. Defensively, Oregon is allowing 31.5 points and 379 yards per game. Justin Flowe leads the Oregon Ducks with 12 tackles, Keith Brown has 1 sack and Trikweze Bridges has 1 interception.

The BYU Cougars have won their last 4 road games. Jaren Hall is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 522 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. Chase Roberts and Keanu Hill have combined for 241 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Kody Epps has 7 receptions. The BYU Cougars ground game is averaging 199 yards per contest, and Christopher Brooks leads the way with 166 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, BYU is allowing 20.5 points and 292 yards per game. Max Tooley leads the BYU Cougars with 18 tackles, Lorenzo Fauatea has 1 sack and Kaleb Hayes has 2 pass deflections.

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The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The Ducks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games in September. The over is 5-2 in Cougars last 7 games overall. The over is 66-32-1 in Ducks last 99 home games.

The Oregon Ducks are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, where they usually always take care of business. However, it’s fair to say BYU has shown us more through 2 games than Oregon has. Sorry, a blowout win over East Washington doesn’t move the needle for me. BYU went on the road and waxed USF in humid conditions and then muscled through a top-10 Baylor team even if the contest was ugly for the most part. BYU plays with a physical style in the trenches, the sort of team that’s given Oregon issues in the past. Don’t be surprised if the Cougars win this game outright. Give me the points.

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Randy’s Pick BYU Cougars +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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