Sugar Bowl: Baylor at Ole Miss 1/1/22 College Football Picks and Predictions

Sugar Bowl: Baylor at Ole Miss 1/1/22 College Football Picks and Predictions Photo by Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

Ole Miss Rebels (10-2) vs Baylor Bears (11-2)

Game Info: Saturday, January 1, 2022 at 8:45 pm (Caesars Superdome)

Betting Odds: Ole Miss Rebels -1.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Baylor Bears and Ole Miss Rebels face off on Saturday in a college football showdown in the Sugar Bowl at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The last time these two teams faced off was in September of 1975 and it was Baylor that won 20-10. 

Baylor comes into this game with an 11-2 record and they have gone 9-4 against the spread. Baylor’s last game was against Oklahoma State for the Big 12 Championship and they won that game 21-16. Baylor has won five games in a row and although some of the games have been closer than they hoped, a win is a win. Baylor is averaging 32.4 points per game while their defense is giving up 19.1 points per game. Under center for Baylor is Gerry Bohanon who has thrown for 2,160 yards, 17 touchdowns, and six interceptions. Running back Abraham Smith has also been an x-factor rushing for 1,420 yards and 12 touchdowns. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Ole Miss Rebels who sit with a 10-2 record and they have gone 7-4-1 against the spread. Lane Kiffin has led Ole Miss to one of the best seasons in history and winning this game would be the icing of the cake. The last game was against Mississippi State, and the offense was strong in that game scoring 31 points and that led to the 10 point victory. Ole Miss is averaging 35.9 points while their defense is giving up 25 points per game. Under center for Ole Miss is Matt Corral who has thrown for 3,339 yards, 20 touchdowns, and four interceptions. Dontario Drummond has been the top receiver catching 67 passes for 924 yards and eight touchdowns. 

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Ole Miss is 5-0-1 against the spread in their last six non-conference games. The under is 7-0 in Ole Miss last seven games overall. The under is 6-0 in Rebels last 6 against. a team with a winning record.

Baylor knows if they want to stay in this game they are going to need the defense to be good and they need to slow down the pace of the game. I expect Baylor is going to have long-established drives and their defense is going to be enough to keep this game lower scoring. Back the under to cash. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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