Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl: Pittsburgh at Michigan State 12/30/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl: Pittsburgh at Michigan State 12/30/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Michigan State Spartans (10-2) vs Pittsburgh Panthers (11-2)

Game Info: Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 7:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Stadium)

Betting Odds: Michigan State Spartans +4.5 -- Over/Under: 63 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Michigan State Spartans will take on the Pittsburgh Panthers in the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl on Thursday night. 

The Spartans have won their last 5 games in a row. They are coming off a 3 point victory against Penn State in their last game. Quarterback Payton Thorne was 19-of-30 for 268yards with 2 touchdowns and an interception in the close game. He had a QBR of 94.9.

This offense is led by quarterback Payton Thorne. He has completed 60.7 percent of his passes for 2,886 yards. He has 24 touchdowns to nine interceptions. Kenneth Walker III led the team with 1,636 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns, while Jayden Reed led the team with 946 receiving yards and eight touchdowns.

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Michigan State is averaging 31 points per game. They are averaging 245.3 passing yards and 185.6 rushing yards per game. Michigan State struggled defensively, allowing 26.6 points per game. 

The Pittsburgh Panthers are coming off of a 45-21 victory against Wake Forest in their last game. Quarterback Kenny Pickett was 20-of-33 for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in the win. He had a QBR of 78.1

Kenny Pickett completed 67.2 percent of his passes for 4,319 yards, 42 touchdowns, and seven interceptions on the season. He has declared for the draft and will opt out of this game. He will be replaced by Nick Patti, who has completed 85.7 percent of his passes for 140 yards.

Pittsburgh is averaging 40.2 points per game. They are averaging 350.2 passing yards and 154.1 rushing yards per game. Pittsburgh allowed their opponents to score 24.4 points per game.

The Spartans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games. The Panthers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. The Panthers are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Without Kenny Pickett the Panthers will struggle to get that same offensive consistency. I like for the Spartans to cover in this matchup as they could possibly get the outright win.

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Clayton’s Pick Michigan State +4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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