Houston at Cincinnati: 12/4/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Cincinnati Bearcats (12-0) vs Houston Cougars (11-1)

Game Info: Saturday, December 4, 2021 at 4:00 pm (Nippert Stadium)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Bearcats -10.5 -- Over/Under: 53 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The 21st ranked Houston Cougars will travel to Nippert Stadium to take on the 4th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats this Saturday afternoon in the AAC Championship.

The 21st ranked Houston Cougars finished their regular season with an 11-1 record while earned a trip to the ACC Championship game after finishing conference play with a perfect 8-0 record. Houston lost their season opener to the Texas Tech Red Raiders by a 38-21 margin, however, the Cougars were outstanding the rest of the way which included impressive wins over Tulsa & SMU.

On the season, Houston is averaging 38.8 ppg on 421.7 total yards per game (272.4 passing yds/g; 149.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Houston has been led by QB Clayton Tune who has completed 68.9% of his passes for 3013 yards, 26 TD, & 8 INT while also rushing for 2 TD. The top receiving threats for Tune and the Cougars have been Nathaniel Dell (71 rec, 1027 yards, 11 TD), Jeremy Singleton (26 rec, 470 yards, 5 TD), Christian Trahan (34 rec, 368 yards, 2 TD), & Jake Herslow (26 rec, 358 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Houston backfield has been the duo of Alton McCaskill (162 att, 844 yards, 16 TD) & Ta’Zhawn Henry (102 att, 492 yards, 7 TD).

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Defensively, Houston is allowing their opponents to an average of 19.8 ppg on 289.5 total yards per game (191.6 passing yds/g; 97.9 rushing yds/g).

The 4th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats finished their regular season with a perfect 12-0 record and earned a trip to the AAC Championship game by going a perfect 8-0 in conference play. Cincinnati was able to pick up a signature win early on the season after going on the road to defeat the 9th ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish by a 24-13 and finished the season strong with two convincing wins over solid AAC teams in SMU & East Carolina.

On the season, Cincinnati is averaging 39.6 ppg on 430.4 total yards per game (253.6 passing yds/g; 176.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Cincinnati has been led by QB Desmond Ridder who has completed 66.0% of his passes for 3000 yards, 27 TD, & 8 INT while also rushing for 342 yards & 6 TD. The top receiving threats for the Bearcats have been Alec Pierce (48 rec, 802 yards, 7 TD), Tyler Scott (35 rec, 452 yards, 4 TD), Tre Tucker (31 rec, 397 yards, 2 TD), & Josh Whyle (22 rec, 285 yards, 6 TD). Leading the way for the Bearcats backfield has been Jerome Ford who has 1056 rushing yards & 17 TD on 182 carries.

Defensively, Cincinnati is holding their opponents to an average of 15.8 ppg on 303.3 total yards per game (161.5 passing yds/g; 141.8 rushing yds/g).

The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog & 0-5 ATS in their last 5 December games. The Bearcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Houston has played great this season on both ends of the field, however, the Cougars rare in my opinion a bit overrated as they just didn’t play the toughest of schedules with their hardest game being a home matchup against SMU. Cincinnati has been even more impressive on both ends of the field this season, ranking 8th in scoring offense & 3rd in scoring defense and haven’t lost a game at Nippert Stadium since 2017. This is a bunch of points to cover against a good Houston team, however, Cincinnati needs a convincing victory to ensure that they stay in the top-4 for the CFB Playoffs and as I think we see the Bearcats win this one by at least 2 TD, I’m taking Cincinnati to cover this double-digit home spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Cincinnati Bearcats -10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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