Penn State at Michigan State: 11/27/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Penn State at Michigan State: 11/27/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Michigan State Spartans (9-2) vs Penn State Nittany Lions (7-4)

Game Info: Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 3:30 pm (Spartan Stadium)

Betting Odds: Michigan State Spartans +1.5 -- Over/Under: 51.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Penn State Nittany Lions will travel to Spartan Stadium to take on the 12th ranked Michigan State Spartans this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Penn State Nittany Lions improved to 7-4 on the season after defeating the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 28-0, this past Saturday. Penn State was lights out defensively against Rutgers and had no trouble securing the victory after a 17-yard TD reception by Parker Washington gave Penn State a 14-0 lead late in the 3rd quarter. Penn State outgained Rutgers by a 407-160 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Nittany Lions was QB Christian Veilleux who completed 15 of 24 passes for 235 yards & 3 TD.

On the season, Penn State is averaging 26.0 ppg on 381.5 total yards per game (270.9 passing yds/g; 110.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Penn State has been led by QB Sean Clifford who has completed 61.9% of his passes for 2599 yards, 17 TD, & 6 INT. Clifford missed the majority of last weeks game due to an illness, however, is probably for this matchup. The top receiving threats for the Nittany Lions have been Jahan Dotson (83 rec, 1045 yards, 10 TD), Parker Washington (53 rec, 662 yards, 3 TD), KeAndre Lambert-Smith (29 rec, 426 yards, 2 TD), & Brenton Strange (15 rec, 163 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Penn State backfield has been the duo of Keyvone Lee (89 att, 416 yards, 2 TD) & Noah Cain (100 att, 322 yards, 4 TD).

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Defensively, Penn State is holding their opponents to an average of 15.5 ppg on 334.3 total yards per game (202.9 passing yds/g; 131.4 rushing yds/g).

The 12th ranked Michigan State Spartans dropped to 9-2 on the season after being defeated by the 4th ranked Ohio State Buckeyes, 56-7, this past Saturday. Michigan State had no answers on either side of the field for Ohio State and could not fight back after a 43-yard TD reception by Chris Olave gave the Buckeyes a 21-0 lead late in the 1st quarter. Michigan State was outgained by Ohio State by a 655-224 margin and committed 1 turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Spartans was QB Payton Thorne who completed 14 of 36 passes for 158 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, Michigan State is averaging 32.1 ppg on 4293.1 total yards per game (243.3 passing yds/g; 185.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Michigan State has been led by RB Kenneth Walker III who has rushed for 1498 yards & 17 TD on 233 carries. QB Payton Thorne has completed 60.5% of his passes for 2611 yards, 22 TD, & 8 INT. The top receiving threats for the Spartans have been Jayden Reed (47 rec, 857 yards, 7 TD), Tre Mosley (29 rec, 463 yards, 2 TD), Connor Heyward (26 rec, 229 yards, TD), & Tyler Hunt (14 rec, 136 yards, TD).

Defensively, Michigan State is allowing their opponents to average 25.5 ppg on 463.0 total yards per game (339.9 passing yds/g; 123.1 rushing yds/g).

The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games & 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games. The Spartans are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 home games & 7-2 -2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Michigan State has had a great season, however, they always seemed like they were overachieving with a less than average defense, and unfortunately for the Spartans, that defense was exposed in recent losses at Purdue & Ohio State. Penn State has had trouble on the offensive end this season, however, do have some decent weapons in Sean Clifford & Jahan Dotson, however, the strength of this team is on the defensive end as the Nittany Lions come into this game ranked 4th in scoring defense. Michigan State has the best running back in College Football in Kenneth Walker III, however, as I think the Penn State defense will be able to give him some trouble and that the Nittany Lions can expose the Spartans secondary that ranks dead last in College Football in passing defense, I think the play here is to take Penn State to cover this small road spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Penn State Nittany Lions -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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