Florida State at Florida: 11/27/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Defensively, Florida State is allowing their opponents to average 26.7 ppg on 379.6 total yards per game (234.5 passing yds/g; 145.1 rushing yds/g).

The Florida Gators dropped to 5-6 on the season after being defeated by the Missouri Tigers, 24-23, this past Saturday. Florida was able to force OT after a 33-yard FG by Chris Howard tied the game midway through the 4th quarter and scored a TD on the opening possession of OT, however, Missouri was able to answer with a 13-yard TD run by Tyler Badie and pulled off the upset victory after converting the two-point conversation. Florida outgained Missouri by a 360-286 margin, however, didn’t force a turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Gators was QB Emory Jones who completed 20 of 32 passes for 231 yards while rushing for 45 yards on 17 carries.

On the season, Florida is averaging 32.5 ppg on 480.5 total yards per game (265.0 passing yds/g; 215.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Florida has been led by QB Emory Jones who has completed 67.8% of his passes for 2400 yards, 18 TD, & 10 INT while also rushing for 673 yards & 4 TD on 128 carries. In the backfield for the Gators has been Dameon Pierce who has 455 rushing yards & 11 TD on 75 carries. The top receiving threats for the Gators have been Jacob Copeland (36 rec, 575 yards, 4 TD), Justin Shorter (36 rec, 486 yards, 2 TD), Kemore Gamble (27 rec, 319 yards, 3 TD), & Xzavier Henderson (25 rec, 272 yards, 2 TD.

Defensively, Florida is allowing their opponents to average 27.1 ppg on 363.5 total yards per game (209.1 passing yds/g, 154.4 rushing yds/g).

The Seminoles are 10-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, however, are just 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Gators are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing record & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

These teams have been heading in different directions in the 2nd half of the season as the Seminoles come into this game winning 5 of their last 7 games to give them a chance to make a Bowl game, while Florida has lost 4 of their last 5 games and recently fired their head coach, Dan Mullen, after last week’s lost at Missouri. Florida has suffered some embarrassing losses as of late against South Carolina & Missouri it’s concerning that the offense has struggled lately putting up just 40 combined points in their last two conference games. Florida State has been much better defensively as of late and as I think their rush defense will be able to give Florida some trouble, I think Jordan Travis and the Seminoles offense will do enough against the Gators to win this game outright. Take Florida State on the M/L.