Utah State at New Mexico: 11/26/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Utah State at New Mexico: 11/26/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Rob Gray-USA TODAY Sports

New Mexico Lobos (3-8) vs Utah State Aggies (8-3)

Game Info: Friday, November 26, 2021 at 1:00 pm (Dreamstyle Stadium)

Betting Odds: New Mexico Lobos +15.5 -- Over/Under: 49.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Utah State Aggies will travel to University Stadium (NM) to take on the New Mexico Lobos this Friday afternoon in College Football action.

The Utah State Aggies had their 5-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 8-3 on the season after being defeated by the Wyoming Cowboys, 4-17, this past Saturday. Utah State had no answers for the Wyoming rushing attack as the Cowboys piled up 362 rushing yards (7.4 yds/carry) and could not fight back after 43-yard TD run by the Cowboys Titus Swen gave Wyoming a 31-17 lead with 11:56 left in the 3rd quarter. Utah State was outgained by Wyoming by a 604-362 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Aggies was RB Calvin Tyler Jr. who had 109 rushing yards on 18 carries.

On the season, Utah State is averaging 31.9 ppg on 459.5 total yards per game (303.0 passing yds/g; 156.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Utah State has been led by QB Logan Bonner who has completed 59.9% of his passes for 2930 yards, 27 TD, & 10 INT. The top receiving threats for the Aggies have been Deven Thompkins (82 rec, 1508 yards, 9 TD), Brandon Bowling (41 rec, 555 yards, 6 TD), Derek Wright (35 rec, 549 yards, 8 TD), & Justin McGriff (30 rec, 358 yards, 4 TD). Leading the way for the Aggies backfield has been the duo of Calvin Tyler Jr. (143 att, 686 yards, 5 TD) & Elelyon Noa (118 att, 517 yards, 4 TD).

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Defensively, Utah State is allowing their opponents to average 27.8 ppg on 416.5 total yards per game (247.0 passing yds/g; 169.5 rushing yds/g).

The New Mexico Lobos lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 3-8 on the season after being defeated by the Boise State Broncos, 37-30, this past Saturday. New Mexico had no answers on either end of the field against Boise State and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 24-0 margin. New Mexico was outgained by Boise State by a 427-101 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Lobos was RB Aaron Dumas who had 36 rushing yards on 15 carries.

On the season, New Mexico is averaging 12.4 ppg on 237.9 total yards per game (116.7 passing yds/g; 121.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New Mexico has been led by the backfield duo of RB Aaron Dumas (136 att, 658 yards, 2 TD) & Bobby Cole (88 att, 360 yards, 2 TD). QB Isaiah Chavez has completed 70.8% of his passes for 161 yards, 2 TD, & 1 INT. The top receiving threats for the Lobos have been Luck Wysong (23 rec, 228 yards), Trace Bruckler (12 rec, 171 yards, 3 TD), Kyle Jarvis (10 rec, 147 yards, TD), & Andrew Erickson (11 rec, 124 yards, TD).

Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 27.8 ppg on 356.1 total yards per game (210.4 passing yds/g; 145.7 rushing yds/g).

The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 Friday games. The Lobos are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Utah State is coming off arguably their worst game of the season, however, there is no better way to bounce back than going against a New Mexico offense that ranks dead last in scoring offense. Utah State is a perfect 5-0 on the season on the road this season, which includes an impressive victory over Air Force, and although their run defense certainly has some issues, I think the Aggies are the far better team here and that they end up winning this one by about three TD’s. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Utah State Aggies -15.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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