Ole Miss at Mississippi State - 11/25/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

The Rebels are averaging over 500 yards per game and are scoring 36.4 points per game. They can improve on the defensive end of things as they allow 25.4 points and 428.5 yards on defense. QB, Matt Corral has thrown for over 3,000 yards this season and his 19 touchdowns, compared to three interceptions. He has another 10 touchdowns on the ground.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are ranks 21st themselves in total yards per game and average 31 points per game. They average 390.2 passing yards per game which is 5th in the country. Defensively, they allow on average 24.7 points and 341.9 yards per game. 

Will Rogers has had an active season for the Bulldogs. He is averaging over 370 passing yards per game and his 34 touchdowns compared to eight interceptions. Makai Polk is about 100 yards short of a 1,000-yard season and has nine touchdowns.

The Ole Miss Rebels are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite.

This has been a very even series between these two squads as the overall record in the matchup straight up sits at 5-5 in the last 10. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. I like Ole Miss here as they are the better team and the only reason as to why the spread is this small is because the Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. I think this will be the one where they can add an ATS win to their record.