SMU at Cincinnati: 11/20/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

Cincinnati Bearcats (10-0) vs SMU Mustangs (8-2)

Game Info: Saturday, November 20, 2021 at 3:30 pm (Nippert Stadium)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Bearcats -11.5 -- Over/Under: 65 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The SMU Mustangs and Cincinnati Bearcats face off on Saturday in an AAC college football showdown at Nippert Stadium. When these two teams faced off in October of 2020 it was Cincinnati that came away with the 42-13 victory. 

The SMU Mustangs have found success this season sitting with an 8-2 record overall. In the last game against UCF, Southern Methodist’s offense was the difference, putting up 55 points, and coming away with the victory. SMU is averaging 41.6 points per game while their defense is giving 25.9 points per game. Under center for SMU is Tanner Mordecai who has thrown for 3264 yards, 37 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. SMU is an elite offensive team and in this game it’s going to be about the offense being good. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Cincinnati Bearcats who are the 5th ranked team in the college football playoff, and this is a game where they can make a positive impact on their ranking. Cincinnati currently sits with a 10-0 record but the last month they haven’t been as dominant. In the last game against South Florida they scored 45 points, but the defense still gave up 28 points. Cincinnati is averaging 39.2 points per game while their defense is giving up 16.2 points per game. Under center for Cincinnati is Desmond Ridder who has thrown for 2.425 yards, 22 touchdowns, and six interceptions. Running back Jerome Ford has also rushed for 888 yards and 15 touchdowns. 

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SMU is 8-20 against the spread in their last 28 road games. Cincinnati is 7-3 against the spread in their last ten home games. The over is 7-3 in SMU’s last ten 10 road games. The underdog is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings. The under is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the two teams. 

SMU’s offense is elite, and they are going to find plenty of success in this game. I don’t like the way Cincinnati’s defense has looked the last few weeks, and the Mustangs will have no issue moving the ball. Back SMU against the spread.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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