Baylor at Kansas State - 11/20/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Baylor Bears will travel to take on the Kansas State Wildcats in this Big 12 college football matchup. The Baylor Bears have been dominant all season while the Wildcats have won four games in a row.  

The Bears are 5-2 in the Big 12. Their two losses have been on the road and the dominant Baylor Bears have a 7-3 record against the spread. They are doing the majority of their damage this year on the ground. The Bears are at an average of 238.1 rushing yards per game.

The Bears lost to TCU in their last contest. In the game. Baylor struggled to get the run going as they only had 393 yards while giving up 562.

On offense, the Baylor Bears are led by quarterback Gerry Bohanon. In 10 games, Bohanan has thrown for 2089 yards on a completion percentage of 64%. So far, he has thrown for 16 touchdowns compared to just 6 interceptions. 

The Kansas State Wildcats enter this game with an overall record of 7-3. Their conference record is 4-3, putting them in 5th place in the Big 12. 

Defensively, the Wildcats have the ability to limit the elite run game of the Bears. They are only allowing opponents to score 20.9 points per game.

The Kansas State Wildcats are led by quarterback Skylar Thompson who in eight games has thrown for 1686 yards. Thompson has been very efficient with his opportunities, completing 71.6% of his passes. 

The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

The Wildcats are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win.

The gameplan of the Wildcats will be centered around stopping Baylor RB Abram Smith who has rushed for 1203 yards. His yards per carry stat of 7.3, represents his big-play ability out of the backfield. 

Although Baylor has struggled to finish the season, they are the better team here. TCU’s defense is special but Smith is a star and the Bears will work hard to find ways to get him going. I will take the Bears here in a spot where they have much to prove. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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