San Diego State at UNLV: 11/19/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

UNLV Rebels (2-8) vs San Diego State Aztecs (9-1)

Game Info: Friday, November 19, 2021 at 11:30 pm (Allegiant Stadium)

Betting Odds: UNLV Rebels +10.5 -- Over/Under: 41 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego State Aztecs and UNLV Rebels face off on Friday in a Mountain West college football showdown at Allegiant Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2020, San Diego State came away with the 34-6  victory. 

The San Diego State Aztecs come into this game with a 9-1 record overall and the only loss came against Fresno State a few games ago. In the last game against Nevada, it was a competitive game but they made the plays late and they came away with the two-point victory. San Diego State is averaging 27.7 points while their defense is giving up 17.1 points per game. This is a defense-first team, and they are going to need the defense to be strong again in this game. This is a run-first team, and Greg Bell has been the top player rushing for 849 yards and seven touchdowns. 

On the other side of this matchup is the UNLV Rebels who sit with a 2-8 record overall and their two wins have come in their last two games. In the last game against Hawaii, the defense was strong giving up 13 points. UNLV is averaging 21.5 points while their defense is giving up 31.8 points per game. Under center for UNLV is Cameron Friel who has thrown for 1,541 yards, six touchdowns, and ten interceptions. The best running back has been Charles Williams who has rushed for 1,089 yards and 13 touchdowns. 

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San Diego State is 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games overall. UNLV is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games on grass. San Diego State is 13-6 against the spread in their last 19 games against UNLV. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings. 

I don’t love UNLV’s offense, and San Diego State’s defense is elite. I also don’t see any way that San Diego State runs up the score against a UNLV team that is playing better. When these two teams has played the under has been a solid play, and that is going to continue again in this game. Back the under to cash.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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