Air Force at Nevada: 11/19/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Air Force at Nevada: 11/19/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Nevada Wolf Pack (7-3) vs Air Force Falcons (7-3)

Game Info: Friday, November 19, 2021 at 9:00 pm (Clarence Mackay Stadium)

Betting Odds: Nevada Wolf Pack -1.5 -- Over/Under: 52.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Air Force Falcons will travel to Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack this Friday night in College Football action.

The Air Force Falcons snapped a 2-game losing streak and improved to 7-3 on the season after defeating the Colorado State Rams, 35-21, this past Saturday. Air Force got off to a fast start against Colorado State as the Falcons led by a 21-7 margin after the 1st quarter and Air Force had no trouble pulling away for the victory after a 20-yard TD reception by Dane Kinamon gave the Falcons a 28-14 lead with 7:51 left in the 4th quarter. Air Force outgained Colorado State by a 509-308 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Falcons was RB Brad Roberts who had 151 rushing yards & 2 TD on 32 carries.

On the season, Air Force is averaging 28.3 ppg on 407.7 total yards per game (96.7 passing yds/g; 311.0 rushing yds/g). Air Force is a run-first offense as they come into this game ranked 1st in rushing offense in all of College Football. Offensively, leading the way for the Air Force rushing attack is RB Brad Roberts who had 1064 yards & 10 TD on 235 carries. QB Haaziq Daniels has completed 47.2% of his passes for 909 yards, 5 TD, & 3 INT while also rushing for 648 yards & 9 TD on 133 carries. Also, in the backfield for Air Force has been Micah Davis (47 att, 360 yards, 4 TD; 10 rec, 221 yards, 2 TD) & DeAndre Hughes (32 att, 250 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Falcons receivers have been Brandon Lewis (15 rec, 424 yards, TD) & Dan Kinamon (7 rec, 101 yards, 2 TD).

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Defensively, Air Force is holding their opponents to an average of 17.6 ppg on 287.4 total yards per game (184.1 passing yds/g; 103.3 rushing yds/g).

The Nevada Wolf Pack had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 7-3 on the season after being defeated by the 22nd ranked San Diego State Aztecs, 23-21, this past Saturday night. Nevada was able to take a 21-20 lead early in the 4th quarter on a 4-yard TD reception by Romeo Doubs, however, the Wolf Pack could not hang onto the victory as the Aztecs Matt Araiza was able to secure the victory on a game-winning 35-yard FG with just 1:21 left in regulation. Nevada was outgained by San Diego State by a 362-358 margin and did not force a turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Wolf Pack was QB Carson Strong who completed 34 of 48 passes for 350 yards & 3 TD.

On the season, Nevada is averaging 34.9 ppg on 437.8 total yards per game (373.7 passing yds/g; 64.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Nevada has been led by QB Carson Strong who has completed 70.5% of his passes for 3547 yards, 28 TD, & 7 INT. The top receiving threats for the Wolf Pack have been Romeo Doubs (64 rec, 853 yards, 7 TD), Cole Turner (55 rec, 618 yards, 8 TD), Melquan Stovall (51 rec, 583 yards, TD), & Justin Lockhart (34 rec, 464 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Wolf Pack backfield has been the duo of Toa Taua (110 att, 558 yards, 4 TD) & Devonte Lee (69 att, 191 yards, 3 TD).

Defensively, Nevada is allowing their opponents to average 24.2 ppg on 383.7 total yards per game (245.4 passing yds/g; 138.3 rushing yds/g).

The Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wolf Pack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

This is going to be a fun game to watch on Friday night as we have two very solid offenses that get it done in different ways as Air Force is the top-ranked rushing attack in College Football while the Wolf Pack ranked 4th in passing offense. Nevada is a tough team to play on the road, however, the Wolf Pack’s two losses have some against teams that have had solid rushing games against them and as I expect Air Force to find success on the ground and keep Carson Strong and the Nevada offense on the sidelines, I think Air Force and their 11th ranked scoring defense walk away with a win in this one. Take Air Force on the money line. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Air Force Falcons - M/L

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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