Nevada at San Diego State: 11/13/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

San Diego State Aztecs (8-1) vs Nevada Wolf Pack (7-2)

Game Info: Saturday, November 13, 2021 at 10:30 pm (Dignity Health Sports Park)

Betting Odds: San Diego State Aztecs -3 -- Over/Under: 46 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Nevada Wolf Pack and San Diego State Aztecs face off on Saturday in a Mountain West college football showdown at StubHub Center. When these two teams faced off in 2020, Nevada came away with the 26-21 victory. 

The Nevada Wolf Pack comes into this game with a 7-2 record overall and they are 6-3 against the spread. In the last game against San Jose State, Nevada played with fire, but they were able to pull out the 27-24 victory. Nevada is averaging 36.4 points while their defense is giving up 24.3 points per game. Under center for Nevada is Carson Strong and he has thrown for 3,197 yards, 25 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. The best running back has been Toa Taua and he has rushed for 527 yards and four touchdowns. eight different players have at least 100 receiving yards, and they need to move the ball through the air in this game. 

On the other side of this matchup is the San Diego State Aztecs who sit with an 8-1 record overall and their only loss came two games ago against Fresno State. San Diego State is averaging 28.2 points while their defense is giving up 16.7 points per game. In the last game against Hawaii, the offense could only manage 17 points, but the defense stepped up and gave up only 10 points. Under center for San Diego State is Lucas Johnson who has thrown for 625 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions. Greg Bell has also rushed for 743 yards and seven touchdowns. 

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Nevada is 9-0 against the spread in their last nine games as an underdog. San Diego State is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games on grass. The home team is 5-2-1 against the spread in the last eight meetings. The over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings. 

This game comes down to the Nevada offense against the San Diego State defense. I expect Carson Strong is going to have a big game, and San Diego State isn’t going to find enough offensive success. Back Nevada against the spread. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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