Louisiana-Lafayette at Troy: 11/13/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Troy Trojans (5-4) vs Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (8-1)

Game Info: Saturday, November 13, 2021 at 3:30 pm (Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium)

Betting Odds: Troy Trojans +6.5 -- Over/Under: 45.0 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will travel to Veterans Memorial Stadium to take on the Troy Trojans this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns won their 8th straight game and improved to 8-1 on the season after defeating the Georgia State Panthers, 21-17, on November 4th. Louisiana had all they could dangle from the Panthers and trailed by 17-14 margin late in the 4th quarter, however, the Ragin’ Cajuns were able to avoid the upset loss after a game-winning 13-yard TD run by Montrell Johnson with 2:32 left in the game. Louisiana outgained Georgia State by a 430-307 margin and committed 1 turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Ragin’ Cajuns was RB Montrell Johnson who had 98 rushing yards & 2 TD on 17 carries.

On the season, Louisiana is averaging 30.8 ppg on 425.7 total yards per game (224.8 passing yds/g; 200.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Louisiana has been led by Levi Lewis who has completed 61.9% of his passes for 1942 yards, 12 TD, & 4 INT while also rushing for 166 yards & 2 TD. The top receiving threats for the Ragin’ Cajuns have been Peter LeBlanc (26 rec, 276 yards, TD), Dontae Fleming (20 rec, 271 yards, TD), Michael Jefferson (11 rec, 261 yards, 2 TD), & Kyren Lacy (18 rec, 230 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Ragin’s Cajuns backfield has been the duo of Chris Smith (110 att, 660 yards, 8 TD) & Montrell Johnson (103 att, 610 yards, 9 TD).

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Defensively, Louisiana is holding their opponents to an average of 19.0 ppg on 352.4 total yards per game (194.8 passing yds/g; 157.7 rushing yds/g).

The Troy Trojans improved to 5-4 on the season after defeating the South Alabama Jaguars, 31-24, this past Saturday. Troy was outstanding offensively in the 1st half against the South Alabama and was able to hang on for the victory after taking a 31-7 lead late in the 2nd quarter. Troy was outgained by South Alabama by a 335-308 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Offensively, Troy was led by QB Gunnar Watson who completed 11 of 14 passes for 121 yards.

On the season, Troy is averaging 2.2 ppg on 353.2 total yards per game (235.3 passing yds/g; 117.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Troy has been led by the RB trio of Kimani Vidal (120 att, 615 yards, 5 TD), B.J. Smith (71 att, 314 yards, 3 TD), & Jamontez Woods (45 att, 229 yards, 6 TD). QB Gunnar Watson has completed 69.3% of his passes for 867 yards, 6 TD, & 0 INT. The top receiving threats for the Trojans have been Tez Johnson (53 rec, 552 yards, 3 TD), Luke Whittemore (22 rec, 357 yards, TD), Jabre Barber (9 rec, 240 yards, TD), & Deshon Stoudemire (12 rec, 147 yards, TD).

Defensively, Troy is holding their opponents to an average of 21.8 ppg on 316.2 total yards per game (202.3 passing yds/g; 113.9 rushing yds/g).

The Ragin’ Cajuns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.

Louisiana has been playing some great football as of late, however, this is a team in which the offense relies heavily on the rushing attack which could have trouble against a very talented Troy defense that ranks 18th in rushing defense & 15th in total defense. Louisiana has struggled ATS on the road this season and as I think Troy’s defense is going to keep this one a competitive game, I’m taking the Trojans and the points. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Troy Trojans +6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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