Arkansas State at Louisiana-Monroe: 11/13/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-5) vs Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-8)

Game Info: Saturday, November 13, 2021 at 5:00 pm (JPS Field at James L. Malone Stadium)

Betting Odds: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks -3 -- Over/Under: 66.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel to Malone Stadium to take on the UL Monroe Warhawks this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves lost their 8th straight game and dropped to 1-8 on the season after being defeated by the Appalachian State Mountaineers, 48-14, this past Saturday. Arkansas State struggled offensively against Appalachian State and could not fight after a 27-yard TD run by the Mountaineers Camerun Peoples gave Appalachian State a 38-14 lead with 2:59 left in the 3rd quarter. Arkansas State was outgained by Appalachian State by a 461-199 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Red Wolves was QB Layne Hatcher who completed 17 of 30 passes for 137 yards, 2 TD, & 3 INT.

On the season, Arkansas State is averaging 26.0 ppg on 383.7 total yards per game (307.0 passing yds/g; 76.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arkansas State has been led by QB Layne Hatcher who has completed 55.3% of his passes for 1429 yards, 14 TD, & 9 INT. The top receiving threats for the Red Wolves have been Corey Rucker (41 rec, 620 yards, 8 TD), Te’Vailance Hunt (39 rec, 602 yards, 4 TD), Jeff Foreman (26 rec, 445 yards, 2 TD), & Emmanual Stevenson (21 rec, 181 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Red Wolves backfield has been the duo of Lincoln Pare (58 att, 274 yards, TD) & Johnnie Lang (57 att, 225 yards).

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Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 43.0 ppg on 548.0 total yards per game (273.4 passing yds/g; 274.6 rushing yds/g).

The UL Monroe Warhawks lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 4-5 on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 27-19, this past Saturday. UL Monroe trailed by just a 20-16 margin at halftime, however, the Warhawks offense struggled in the 2nd half and could not fight back to get their first road victory of the season. UL Monroe was outgained by Texas State by a 434-432 margin and didn’t force a turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Warhawks was RB Andrew Henry who had 82 rushing yards & 1 TD on 23 carries.

On the season, UL Monroe is averaging 21.9 ppg on 325.8 total yards per game (197.7 passing yds/g; 128.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UL Monroe has been led by QB Chandler Rogers who has completed 62.7% of his passes for 1224 yards, 8 TD, & 3 INT while also rushing for 327 yards & 1 TD. The top receiving threats for the Warhawks have been Boogie Knight (33 rec, 408 yards, TD), Will Derrick (18 rec, 285 yards, TD), Zach Jackson (21 rec, 284 yards, 2 TD), Jared Sparks (25 rec, 278 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Warhawks backfield has been RB Andrew Henry who has 476 rushing yards & 4 TD on 122 carries.

Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing their opponents to average 36.3 ppg on 456.2 total yards per game (278.2 passing yds/g; 178.0 rushing yds/g).

The Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Warhawks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 home games.

UL Monroe might be 0-4 on the road this season, however, the Warhawks have been outstanding at home this season, posting a 4-1 record, which includes impressive wins against Troy & Liberty. Arkansas State has had a long season, largely due to major issues on the defensive end as the Red Wolves come into this game ranked just 129th in scoring defense & 130th in total defense. UL Monroe has been solid offensively over the last month as they have averaged 29.8 ppg over their last 4 games and as I think they have no issues putting up plenty of points against the Red Wolves, I’m taking UL Monroe to have no issue covering this mid-range home spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick UL Monroe Warhawks -3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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