Arkansas at LSU: 11/13/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

LSU Tigers (4-5) vs Arkansas Razorbacks (6-3)

Game Info: Saturday, November 13, 2021 at 7:30 pm (Tiger Stadium)

Betting Odds: LSU Tigers +3 -- Over/Under: 59 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The 25th ranked Arkansas Razorbacks will travel to Tiger Stadium (LA) to take on the LSU Tigers this Saturday night in College Football action.

The 25th ranked Arkansas Razorbacks won their 2nd straight game and improved to 6-3 on the season after defeating the 17th ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs, 31-28, this past Saturday. Arkansas allowed Mississippi State to score 14-unanswered points in the 4th quarter to take a late 28-23 lead, however, the Razorbacks were able to pull off the victory after scoring a game-winning 4-yard TD run by Dominique Johnson gave Arkansas the lead for good with just :21 seconds left in the game. Arkansas was outgained by Mississippi State by a 486-393 margin, however, did win the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Razorbacks was RB Dominique Johnson who had 107 rushing yards & 2 TD on 17 carries.

On the season, Arkansas is averaging 32.6 ppg on 457.2 total yards per game (213.4 passing yds/g; 243.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arkansas has been led by QB KJ Jefferson who has completed 64.2% of his passes for 1848 yards, 16 TD & 3 INT while also rushing for 416 yards & 5 TD. The top receiving threats for the Razorbacks have been Treylon Burks (48 rec, 799 yards, 8 TD), Tyson Morris (16 rec, 255 yards, 2 TD), & Warren Thompson (15 rec, 218 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Razorbacks backfield has been the trio of Trelon Smith (95 att, 476 yards, 4 TD), Raheim Sanders (87 att, 460 yards, TD), & Dominique Johnson (56 att, 416 yards, 6 TD).

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Defensively, Arkansas is holding their opponents to an average of 24.0 ppg on 351.2 total yards per game (195.2 passing yds/g; 156.0 rushing yds/g).

The LSU Tigers lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 4-5 on the season after being defeated by the 2nd ranked Alabama Crimson Tide, 20-14, this past Saturday. LSU gave the Alabama offense some trouble, however, the Tigers could not fight all the way back after a 58-yard reception by the Crimson Tide’s Jameson Williams gave Alabama a 20-7 lead early in the 3rd quarter. LSU was outgained by Alabama by a 308-295 margin and lost the turnover by a 2-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Tigers was QB Max Johnson who completed 16 of 32 passes for 160 yards, 2 TD, & 1 INT.

On the season, LSU is averaging 28.7 ppg on 372.3 total yards per game (260.6 passing yds/g; 111.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, LSU has been led by QB Max Johnson who has completed 60.1% of his passes for 2168 yards, 22 TD, & 6 INT. The top receiving threats for the Tigers have been Kayshon Boutte (38 rec, 508 yards, 9 TD), Jack Bech (33 rec, 366 yards, 2 TD), Brian Thomas Jr. (21 rec, 277 yards, TD), & Jaray Jenkins (22 rec, 276 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Tigers backfield has been Tyrion Davis-Price who has 731 rushing yards & 6 TD on 143 carries.

Defensively, LSU is allowing their opponents to average 27.8 ppg on 397.3 total yards per game (249.1 passing yds/g; 148.2 rushing yds/g).

The Razorbacks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 November games and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 November games and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.

LSU might come into this game on a 2-game losing streak, however, I like how the Tigers were competitive in two tough road games against Ole Miss & Arkansas and is coming off a nice 49-42 victory against Florida in their last home game. Arkansas has been great this season, led by KJ Jefferson, however, this is a team that has struggled a bit as of late, losing 3 of their last 5 games while the defense has allowed their last 4 SEC opponents to average 39.5 ppg. LSU’s defense is starting to look more like what we expected as of late and as I think QB Max Johnson will have no trouble generating offense at home against a Razorbacks defense that we’ve seen recently hurt by opposing passing attacks, I think the play here is to take LSU and the points. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick LSU Tigers +2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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