South Alabama at Troy: 11/6/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

South Alabama at Troy: 11/6/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Troy Trojans (4-4) vs South Alabama Jaguars (5-3)

Game Info: Saturday, November 6, 2021 at 3:30 pm (Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium)

Betting Odds: Troy Trojans -4 -- Over/Under: 47.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The South Alabama Jaguars will travel to Veterans Memorial Stadium to take on the Troy Trojans this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The South Alabama Jaguars improved to 5-3 on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 31-13, this past Saturday. South Alabama was outstanding on the defensive end against Arkansas State and had no trouble securing the victory after going up 28-0 midway through the 2nd quarter. South Alabama outgained Arkansas State by a 421-224 margin and won the turnover battle by a 4-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Jaguars was QB Jake Bentley who completed 29 of 39 passes for 248 yards, 4 TD, & 1 INT.

On the season, South Alabama is averaging 29.1 ppg on 394.5 total yards per game (261.1 passing yds/g; 133.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, South Alabama has been led by QB Jake Bentley who has completed 69.9% of his passes for 2073 yards, 15 TD, & 5 INT. The top receiving threats for Bentley and the Jaguars have been Jalen Tolbert (54 rec, 967 yards, 6 TD), Jalen Wayne (34 rec, 385 yards, 2 TD), Caullin Lacy (32 rec, 262 yards), & Lincoln Sefcik (17 rec, 146 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Jaguars backfield has been led by the trio of Terrion Avery (95 att, 399 yards, TD), Bryan Hill (58 att, 271 yards, 3 TD), & Kareem Walker (63 att, 237 yards, 4 TD).

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Defensively, South Alabama is holding their opponents to an average of 21.0 ppg on 320.8 total yards per game (202.3 passing yds/g; 118.5 rushing yds/g).

The Troy Trojans had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 4-4 on the season after being defeated by the 24th ranked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 35-28, on October 28th. Troy gave Coastal Carolina all they could handle on their home field, however, the Trojans could not fight back after a 54-yard TD run by Shermari Jones gave the Chanticleers a 35-21 lead with 11:23 left in the 4th quarter. Troy was outgained by Coastal Carolina by a 510-389 margin and committed 1 turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Trojans was QB Gunnar Watson who completed 17 of 30 passes for 225 yards & 3 TD.

On the season, Troy is averaging 25.6 ppg on 358.9 total yards per game (239.6 passing yds/g; 119.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Troy has been led by led by the RB trio of Kimani Vidal (115 att, 586 yards, 5 TD), B.J. Smith (59 att, 265 yards, 3 TD), & Jamontez Woods (40 att, 222 yards, 4 TD). QB Gunnar Watson has completed 68% of his passes for 746 yards & 6 TD. The top receiving threats for the Trojans have been Tez Johnson (49 rec, 506 yards, 3 TD), Luke Whittemore (19 rec, 298 yards, TD), Reggie Todd (23 rec, 291 yards, TD), & Jabre Barber (24 rec, 230 yards, 3 TD).

Defensively, Troy is holding their opponents to an average of 21.5 ppg on 313.9 total yards per game (204.3 passing yds/g; 109.6 rushing yds/g).

The Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, however, are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Trojans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

South Alabama comes into this game with just a 1-2 record on the road this season, however, I like how the Jaguars have looked over the past few weeks which includes two blowout victories over Georgia Southern & Arkansas State. Troy is led by their strong defense, however, the Trojans offense has struggled at times and between the fact that I think the South Alabama passing attack will be able to put up some points and the Trojans will struggle a bit against the Jaguars 35th ranked scoring defense, I think the play here is to take South Alabama and the points. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick South Alabama Jaguars +4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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