Mississippi State at Arkansas: 11/6/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing their opponents to an average of 24.6 ppg on 313.3 total yards per game (223.6 passing yds/g; 89.6 rushing yds/g).

The Arkansas Razorbacks snapped their 3-game losing streak and improved to 5-3 on the season after defeating the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions, 45-3, on October 23rd. Arkansas had no trouble putting points up on the scoreboard against the Golden Lions defense and easily cruised to victory in the 2nd half after going into halftime with a 45-3 lead. Arkansas outgained Arkansas-Pine Bluff by a 504-223 margin and forced 2 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Razorbacks was KJ Jefferson who completed 10 of 17 passes for 194 yards & 4 TD.

On the season, Arkansas is averaging 32.8 ppg on 465.3 total yards per game (216.3 passing yds/g; 249.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arkansas has been led by QB KJ Jefferson who has completed 61.8% of his passes for 1657 yards, 15 TD, & 3 INT while also rushing for 419 yards & 5 TD on 81 carries. The top receiving threats for the Razorbacks have been Treylon Burks (42 rec, 717 yards, 7 TD), Tyson Morris (14 rec, 236 yards, 2 TD), & Warren Thompson (13 rec, 206 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Razorbacks backfield has been the duo of Trelon Smith (90 att, 459 yards, 4 TD) & Raheim Sanders (79 att, 434 yards, TD).

Defensively, Arkansas is holding their opponents to an average of 23.5 ppg on 334.4 total yards per game (167.5 passing yds/g; 166.9 rushing yds/g).

The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, however, are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. The Razorbacks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall, however, are just 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite.

Arkansas has a great start to their season, however, the Razorbacks have struggled a bit in conference play, and I think that trend is going to continue as they face a Mississippi State team that has been great offensively as of late and is coming off an impressive victory over Kentucky. Arkansas struggled recently slowing down the Ole Miss passing attack which doesn’t bode well going against Mike Leach and his “Air Raid” offense and as I think the Mississippi State defense, which ranks 4th in rushing defense, is going to have some success slowing down KJ Jefferson, I think the play here is to take the Bulldogs and the points. Good Luck!