Mississippi State at Arkansas: 11/6/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Mississippi State at Arkansas: 11/6/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

Arkansas Razorbacks (5-3) vs Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-3)

Game Info: Saturday, November 6, 2021 at 4:00 pm (Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium)

Betting Odds: Arkansas Razorbacks -4 -- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The 17th ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs will travel to Razorback Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The 17th ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs won their 2nd straight game and improved to 5-3 on the season after defeating the 12th ranked Kentucky Wildcats, 31-17, this past Saturday. Mississippi State was lights out on the defensive end against Kentucky and pulled away after taking a 24-10 lead on a 1-yard TD run by Dillon Johnson with 4:44 left in the 3rd quarter. Mississippi State outgained Kentucky by a 438-216 margin and won the turnover battle by a 4-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was QB Will Rogers who completed 36 of 39 passes for 344 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, Mississippi State is averaging 28.0 ppg on 425.3 total yards per game (370.9 passing yds/g; 54.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Mississippi State has been led by QB Will Rogers who has completed 75.2% of his passes for 2892 yards, 19 TD, & 7 INT. The top receiving threats for the Bulldogs have been Makai Polk (63 rec, 603 yards, 6 TD), Jaden Walley (36 rec, 433 yards, 4 TD), Austin Williams (33 rec, 328 yards, TD), & Malik Health (26 rec, 276 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Bulldogs backfield has been the duo of Jo’quavious Marks (71 att, 252 yards, 4 TD; 58 rec, 344 yards, 2 TD) & Dillon Johnson (54 att, 248 yards, 3 TD).

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Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing their opponents to an average of 24.6 ppg on 313.3 total yards per game (223.6 passing yds/g; 89.6 rushing yds/g).

The Arkansas Razorbacks snapped their 3-game losing streak and improved to 5-3 on the season after defeating the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions, 45-3, on October 23rd. Arkansas had no trouble putting points up on the scoreboard against the Golden Lions defense and easily cruised to victory in the 2nd half after going into halftime with a 45-3 lead. Arkansas outgained Arkansas-Pine Bluff by a 504-223 margin and forced 2 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Razorbacks was KJ Jefferson who completed 10 of 17 passes for 194 yards & 4 TD.

On the season, Arkansas is averaging 32.8 ppg on 465.3 total yards per game (216.3 passing yds/g; 249.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arkansas has been led by QB KJ Jefferson who has completed 61.8% of his passes for 1657 yards, 15 TD, & 3 INT while also rushing for 419 yards & 5 TD on 81 carries. The top receiving threats for the Razorbacks have been Treylon Burks (42 rec, 717 yards, 7 TD), Tyson Morris (14 rec, 236 yards, 2 TD), & Warren Thompson (13 rec, 206 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Razorbacks backfield has been the duo of Trelon Smith (90 att, 459 yards, 4 TD) & Raheim Sanders (79 att, 434 yards, TD).

Defensively, Arkansas is holding their opponents to an average of 23.5 ppg on 334.4 total yards per game (167.5 passing yds/g; 166.9 rushing yds/g).

The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, however, are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. The Razorbacks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall, however, are just 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite.

Arkansas has a great start to their season, however, the Razorbacks have struggled a bit in conference play, and I think that trend is going to continue as they face a Mississippi State team that has been great offensively as of late and is coming off an impressive victory over Kentucky. Arkansas struggled recently slowing down the Ole Miss passing attack which doesn’t bode well going against Mike Leach and his “Air Raid” offense and as I think the Mississippi State defense, which ranks 4th in rushing defense, is going to have some success slowing down KJ Jefferson, I think the play here is to take the Bulldogs and the points. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Mississippi State Bulldogs +5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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