Louisiana-Monroe at Texas State: 11/6/21 College Football Picks and Prediction
Photo by David Yeazell-USA TODAY Sports
Texas State Bobcats (2-6) vs Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-4)
Game Info: Saturday, November 6, 2021 at 3:00 pm (Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium)
Betting Odds: Texas State Bobcats -3.5 -- Over/Under: 61.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The UL Monroe Warhawks will travel to Bobcat Stadium (TX) to take on the Texas State Bobcats this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The UL Monroe Warhawks had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 4-4 on the season after being defeated by the Appalachian State Mountaineers, 59-28, this past Saturday. UL Monroe struggled with turnovers against the Appalachian State defense and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 49-7 margin. UL Monroe was outgained by Appalachian State by a 521-391 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 5-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Warhawks was QB Jiya Wright who completed 9 of 17 passes for 158 yards, 1 TD, & 2 INT while also rushing for 91 yards & 2 TD.
On the season, UL Monroe is averaging 22.3 ppg on 312.5 total yards per game (189.6 passing yds/g; 122.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UL Monroe has been led by QB Chandler Rogers who has completed 61.7% of his passes for 962 yards, 8 TD, & 3 INT while also rushing for 279 yards, however, he is questionable for this matchup after leaving last game early due to injury. If Rogers can’t go, we can assume that Jiya Wright will get another start under center who looked decent last week in relief. The top receiving threats for the Warhawks have been Boogie Knight (29 rec, 360 yards, TD), Zach Jackson (21 rec, 284 yards, 2 TD), Jared Sparks (23 rec, 236 yards, TD), & Will Derrick (12 rec, 211 yards, TD). Leading the way for the UL Monroe backfield has been Andrew Henry who has 394 rushing yards & 3 TD on 99 carries.
Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing their opponents to average 37.5 ppg on 459.0 total yards per game (280.3 passing yds/g; 178.8 rushing yds/g).
The Texas State Bobcats lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 2-6 on the season after being defeated by the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns, 45-0, this past Saturday. Texas State was dominated on both ends of the field by Louisiana and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 17-0 margin. Texas State was outgained by Louisiana by a 425-205 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Bobcats was QB Tyler Vitt who completed 6 of 13 passes for 42 yards & 1 INT while also rushing for 94 yards on 15 carries.
On the season, Texas State is averaging 21.6 ppg on 335.4 total yards per game (193.6 passing yds/g; 141.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Texas State has been led by the backfield trio of Calvin Hill (86 att, 400 yards), Brock Sturges (69 att, 295 yards, 4 TD), & Jahmyl Jeter (41 att, 173 yards, 4 TD). QB Brady McBride has completed 59.8% of his passes for 1507 yards, 12 TD, & 10 INT, however, missed the Bobcats last game due to an ankle injury and is questionable for this matchup. Tyler Vitt started last week for Texas State and although he can do some damage with his legs, the Texas State passing attack looked quite limited against Louisiana last week. The top receiving threats for the Warhawks have been Javen Banks (29 rec, 439 yards, 4 TD), Marcell Barbee (29 rec, 296 yards, 4 TD), & Trevis Graham Jr. (10 rec, 147 yards, 2 TD).
Defensively, Texas State is allowing their opponents to average 35.3 ppg on 421.4 total yards per game (233.9 passing yds/g; 187.5 rushing yds/g).
The Warhawks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 November games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
We have question marks with both offenses in this one, as both starting QB’s for UL Monroe and Texas State are currently questionable. If both Rogers & McBride can’t go, I must give the edge to UL Monroe. UL Monroe has struggled defensively this season, however, the majority of the damage as come through opponent passing attack which shouldn’t be much of a worry after seeing the Bobcats have little to no passing attack against Louisiana with Tyler Vit behind center. UL Monroe has impressive win over Liberty on their resume and as I think the Warhawks offense will have success against a Texas State defense that is allowing over 35.0 ppg, I think the play here is to take UL Monroe and the points. Good Luck!