Liberty at Ole Miss: 11/6/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Liberty at Ole Miss: 11/6/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

Ole Miss Rebels (6-2) vs Liberty Flames (7-2)

Game Info: Saturday, November 6, 2021 at 12:00 pm (Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field)

Betting Odds: Ole Miss Rebels -9.5 -- Over/Under: 67 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Liberty Flames will travel to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to take on the 16th ranked Ole Miss Rebels this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Liberty Flames won their 2nd straight game and improved to 7-2 on the season after defeating the UMass Minutemen, 62-17, this past Saturday. Liberty dominated UMass on both ends of the field and had no trouble securing the victory after going into halftime with a 41-3 lead. Liberty outgained UMass by a 604-284 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Flames was QB Malik Willis who completed 19 of 27 passes for 307 yards & 4 TD.

On the season, Liberty is averaging 37.4 ppg on 444.8 total yards per game (259.6 passing yds/g; 185.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Liberty has been led by QB Malik Willis who has completed 66.7% of his passes for 1986 yards, 21 TD, & 6 INT while also rushing for 684 yards & 9 TD. The top receiving threats for the Flames have been Demario Douglas (37 rec, 562 yards, 5 TD), CJ Daniels (26 rec, 456 yards, 7 TD), DJ Stubbs (15 rec, 245 yards, TD), & Kevin Shaa (15 rec, 244 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way in the Liberty backfield has been the trio of Joshua Mack (81 att, 315 yards, 3 TD), T.J. Green (59 att, 315 yards, 3 TD), & Shedro Louis (56 att, 257 yards, 3 TD).

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Defensively, Liberty is holding their opponents to an average of 17.8 ppg on 300.0 total yards per game (166.4 passing yds/g; 133.6 rushing yds/g).

The 16th ranked Ole Miss Rebels had their 3-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 6-2 on the season after being defeated by the 18th ranked Auburn Tigers, 31-20, this past Saturday. Ole Miss had trouble putting up points on the tough Auburn defense and could not fight back after a 9-yard TD reception by Auburn’s Jarquez Hunter gave the Tigers a 28-17 lead right before halftime. Ole Miss was outgained by Auburn by a 483-464 margin and forced 1 turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Rebels was WR Jahcour Pearson who had 7 receptions for 135 yards.

On the season, Ole Miss is averaging 39.1 ppg on 531.5 total yards per game (281.6 passing yds/g; 249.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Ole Miss has been led by QB Matt Corral who has completed 66.1% of his passes for 2203 yards, 15 TD, & 2 INT while also rushing for 519 yards & 10 TD. The top receiving threats for the Rebels have been Dontario Drummond (40 rec, 658 yards, 6 TD), Braylon Sanders (13 rec, 309 yards, 3 TD), & Jahcour Pearson (16 rec, 219 yards). Ole Miss has been hit hard by injuries with their WR’s as they already lost Jonathan Mingo for the season while Dontario Drummond is questionable for this matchup after having to leave the Auburn game early. Leading the way for the Rebels backfield has been the RB duo of Henry Parrish Jr. (86 att, 464 yards, 2 TD) & Snoop Conner (77 att, 435 yards, 10 TD).

Defensively, Ole Miss is allowing their opponents to average 28.6 ppg on 428.1 total yards per game (245.4 passing yds/g; 182.8 rushing yds/g).

The Flames are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rebels are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, however, are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous games.

Ole Miss is a talented offensive team, however, this Liberty defense is very tough, and I think could have some success against the Rebels as they the Flames currently rank 13th in scoring defense & 10th in total defense. Ole Miss has a great QB in Matt Corral, however, Ole Miss could be missing their top two WR’s in this one and I think could struggle a bit as we saw last week against Auburn. Liberty’s offense is led by one of the better QB’s in College Football in the dual-threat Malik Willis and as I think the Flames will be able to keep this game competitive, I think the play here is to take Liberty and the points. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Liberty Flames +9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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