Baylor at TCU: 11/6/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Baylor at TCU: 11/6/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Stephen Spillman-USA TODAY Sports

TCU Horned Frogs (3-5) vs Baylor Bears (7-1)

Game Info: Saturday, November 6, 2021 at 3:30 pm (Amon G. Carter Stadium)

Betting Odds: TCU Horned Frogs +6.5 -- Over/Under: 58.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The 12th ranked Baylor Bears will travel to Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on the TCU Horned Frogs this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The 12th ranked Baylor Bears won their 3rd straight game and improved to 7-1 on the season after defeating the Texas Longhorns, 31-24, this past Saturday. Baylor trailed by a 21-10 margin early in the 3rd quarter, however, the Baylor offense was outstanding down the stretch and was able to pull away after a 32-yard TD run by Abram Smith gave the Bears a double-digit lead with 7:59 left in the 4th quarter. Baylor outgained Texas by a 427-382 margin and forced 2 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Bears was RB Abram Smith who had 145 rushing yards & 1 TD on 21 carries.

On the season, Baylor is averaging 37.4 ppg on 466.4 total yards per game (228.1 passing yds/g; 238.63 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Baylor has been led by RB Abram Smith who has 930 rushing yards & 11 TD on 126 carries. QB Gerry Bohanon has completed 64.2% of his passes for 1747 yards, 12 TD & 3 INT. The top receiving threats for the Bears have been Tyquan Thornton (37 rec, 595 yards, 5 TD), R.J. Sneed (33 rec, 492 yards, 2 TD), & Ben Sims (17 rec, 232 yards, 4 TD).

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Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 19.4 ppg on 339.4 total yards per game (209.0 passing yds/g; 130.4 rushing yds/g).

The TCU Horned Frogs lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 3-5 on the season after being defeated by the Kansas State Wildcats, 31-12, this past Saturday. TCU struggled on both ends of the field against Kansas State and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 21-5 margin. TCU was outgained by Kansas State by a 388-340 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Horned Frogs was RB Kendre Miller who had 102 rushing yards on 14 carries.

On the season, TCU is averaging 31.5 ppg on 436.6 total yards per game (227.9 passing yds/g; 208.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, TCU has been led by The RB duo of Zach Evans (92 att, 648 yards, 5 TD) & Kendre Miller (69 att, 513 yards, 6 TD). Evans has missed the last two games due to a foot injury and is currently questionable for this matchup. QB Max Duggan has completed 64.9% of his passes for 1666 yards, 14 TD, & 4 INT while also rushing for 250 yards & 2 TD. The top receiving threats for the Horned Frogs have been Quenton Johnston (26 rec, 473 yards, 5 TD), Taye Barber (19 rec, 291 yards, 2 TD), Derius Davis (20 rec, 272 yards, TD), & Blair Conwright (11 rec, 168 yards, TD).

Defensively, TCU is allowing their opponents to average 31.5 ppg on 443.3 total yards per game (238.9 passing yds/g; 204.4 rushing yds/g).

The Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Horned Frogs are 11-28-1 ATS in their last 40 home games and just 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

TCU is a team that is just in shambles at the moment, highlighted by the firing of long-time coach, Gary Patterson, and it’s hard to imagine the Horned Frogs coming out strong in what is a touch matchup with Baylor who has been outstanding on both sides of the ball this season. TCU has had no answers defensively this season as they currently rank 104th in scoring defense and as I think Baylor defense will have no problems taking care of business with a TCU offense missing one of their best weapons in Zach Evans, I think Baylor has no trouble covering this small road spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Baylor Bears -6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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