Texas at Baylor: 10/30/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Texas at Baylor: 10/30/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Baylor Bears (6-1) vs Texas Longhorns (4-3)

Game Info: Saturday, October 30, 2021 at 12:00 pm (McLane Stadium)

Betting Odds: Baylor Bears -2.5 -- Over/Under: 61.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Texas Longhorns will travel to McLane Stadium to take on the 16th ranked Baylor Bears this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Texas Longhorns lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 4-3 on the season after being defeated by the 12th ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys, 32-24, on October 16th. Texas held a 24-13 lead early in the 3rd quarter after a 38-yard TD run by Bijan Robinson, however, Texas struggled on both ends of the field down the stretch and allowed Oklahoma State to come away with the victory after the Cowboys scored 19 unanswered points to close out the game. Texas was outgained by Oklahoma State by a 398-317 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Longhorns was Bijan Robinson who had 135 rushing yards & 2 TD on 21 carries.

On the season, Texas is averaging 41.6 ppg on 456.7 total yards per game (226.9 passing yds/g; 229.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Texas has been led by RB Bijan Robinson who has 924 rushing yards & 10 TD on 146 carries while also hauling in 14 receptions for 207 yards & 3 TD. QB Casey Thompson who has completed 65.0% of his passes for 1274 yards, 15 TD, & 5 INT. The top receiving threats for the Longhorns have been Xavier Worthy (29 rec, 542 yards, 6 TD), Jordan Whittington (24 rec, 359 yards, 3 TD), & Joshua Moore (17 rec, 169 yards, 2 TD).

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Defensively, Texas is allowing their opponents to average 29.6 ppg on 433.1 total yards per game (231.9 passing yds/g; 201.3 rushing yds/g).

The 16th ranked Baylor Bears won their 2nd straight game and improved to 6-1 on the season after defeating the 19th ranked BYU Cougars, 38-24, on October 16th. Baylor had no trouble putting up yards against the tough BYU defense and pulled away after a 7-yard TD run by Abram Smith gave the Bears a 31-14 lead with 4:32 left in the 3rd quarter. Baylor outgained BYU by a 534-409 margin and forced 1 turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Bears was RB Abram Smith who had 188 rushing yards & 3 TD on 27 carries.

On the season, Baylor is averaging 38.3 ppg on 472.0 total yards per game (232.7 passing yds/g; 239.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Baylor has been led by RB Abram Smith who has 785 rushing yards & 10 TD on 105 carries. QB Gerry Bohanon has completed 65.5% of his passes for 1557 yards, 12 TD, & 1 INT while also rushing for 6 TD. The top receiving threats for the Bears have been Tyquan Thornton (32 rec, 541 yards, 5 TD), R.J. Sneed (25 rec, 398 yards, 1 TD), Drew Estrada (12 rec, 204 yards), & Ben Sims (16 rec, 204 yards, 4 TD).

Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 18.7 ppg on 333.3 total yards per game (198.9 passing yds/g; 134.4 rushing yds/g).

The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, however, are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Texas has no question some solid offensive weapons, however, this is a team that just hasn’t been able to finish football games and I think are going to run into some trouble on the road against a Baylor team that has been impressive on both ends of the field. Baylor comes into this game ranked 19th in scoring defense and as I think their offense will be able to have some success against a Texas defense that has struggled against both opponents rushing and passing attacks, I think the play here is to take Baylor to cover this small home spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Baylor Bears -2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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