Penn State at Ohio State: 10/30/21 College Football Picks and Prediction
Photo by Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK
Ohio State Buckeyes (6-1) vs Penn State Nittany Lions (5-2)
Game Info: Saturday, October 30, 2021 at 7:30 pm (Ohio Stadium)
Betting Odds: Ohio State Buckeyes -18.5 -- Over/Under: 61 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ABC Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now!
The 20th ranked Penn State Nittany Lions will travel to Ohio Stadium to take on the 5th ranked Ohio State Buckeyes this Saturday night in College Football action.
The 20th ranked Penn State Nittany Lions lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 5-2 on the season after being defeated by the Illinois Fighting Illini, 20-18 (9 OT), this past Saturday. In one of the craziest OT games that we’ve seen in College Football since the new OT rules were adapted, Illinois was finally able to pull out the victory after the Fighting Illini’s Casey Washington caught a 3-yard reception to win it. Penn State won the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin, however, was outgained by the Fighting Illini by a 395-227 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Nittany Lions was QB Sean Clifford who completed 19 of 34 passes for 165 yards & 1 TD.
On the season, Penn State is averaging 26.6 ppg on 372.4 total yards per game (253.6 passing yds/g; 118.9 yds/g). Offensively, Penn State has been led by QB Sean Clifford who has completed 64.6% of his passes for 1647 yards, 12 TD, & 5 INT. The top receiving threats for the Nittany Lions have been Jahan Dotson (49 rec, 563 yards, 6 TD), Parker Washington (32 rec, 374 yards, 2 TD), KeAndre Lambert-Smith (21 rec, 334 yards, 2 TD), & Brenton Strange (10 rec, 139 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Penn State backfield has been Noah Cain who has 245 rushing yards & 4 TD on 78 carries.
Defensively, Penn State is holding their opponents to an average of 14.7 ppg on 324.4 total yards per game (178.0 passing yds/g; 146.4 rushing yds/g).
The Ohio State Buckeyes won their 5th straight game and improved to 6-1 on the season after defeating the Indiana Hoosiers, 54-7, this past Saturday. Ohio State dominated Indiana on both ends of the field throughout the game and had no trouble securing the victory after going into halftime with a 44-7 lead. Ohio State outgained Indiana by a 539-128 margin and didn’t commit a turnover in the victory. Leading the way for Buckeyes was C.J. Stroud who completed 21 of 28 passes for 266 yards & 4 TD.
On the season, Ohio State is averaging 49.3 ppg on 559.3 total yards per game (352.1 passing yds/g; 207.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Ohio State has been led by C.J. Stroud who has completed 67.6% of his passes for 1965 yards, 22 TD, & 3 INT. The top receiving threats for the Buckeyes have been Garrett Wilson (36 rec, 605 yards, 6 TD), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (29 rec, 551 yards, 3 TD), Chris Olave (32 rec, 518 yards, 8 TD), & Jeremy Ruckert (16 rec, 186 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Ohio State backfield has been TreVeyon Henderson who has 693 rushing yards & 11 TD on 79 carries.
Defensively, Ohio State is holding their opponents to an average of 18.6 ppg on 350.3 total yards per game (230.9 passing yds/g; 119.4 rushing yds/g).
The Nittany Lions are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, however, are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. The Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 October games.
Penn State has a defense that certainly can give Ohio State some trouble, however, the Buckeyes offense has looked unstoppable over the past month and even though they won’t hit their 49.3 ppg average, I still think they can get 35+ points in this game which should be plenty to cover against a Penn State offense that has many question marks. Ohio State’s defense looks much better than the squad we saw early in this season against Minnesota & Oregon, and as I think the Buckeyes will be able to win this one by 20, I’m taking Ohio State to cover this large home spread. Good Luck!