New Mexico State at Hawaii 10/24/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

New Mexico State at Hawaii 10/24/21 College Football Picks and Predictions Photo by BRIANA SANCHEZ/EL PASO TIMES via Imagn Content Services, LLC

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (3-4) vs New Mexico State Aggies (1-6)

Game Info: Sunday, October 24, 2021 at 12:00 am (Clarence T.C. Ching Complex)

Betting Odds: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors -17.5 -- Over/Under: 61.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

New Mexico State faces Hawaii on Saturday, October 23rd, at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex for a Week 8 college football matchup. 

New Mexico State and Hawaii have already faced each other this season at New Mexico State. The final score of that contest was 41-21 in favor of Hawaii. New Mexico State is an FBS independent, so it is oftentimes difficult to schedule games against different opponents. Thus, the Aggies have Hawaii on the schedule twice just as they did with Liberty in 2019. New Mexico State is 1-6 heading into this matchup, with its only win being a 43-35 win over the FCS' South Carolina State. For a team that did not play at all in 2020 and has many difficulties recruiting, New Mexico State has done the best it can this season. The Aggies are 5-2 against the spread on the year and a lot of that has to do with its offense, scoring 23 points per game and earning 368 total yards per game. 

Hawaii comes into this game needing another win as the Bows are coming off a loss to Nevada. Hawaii lost that game 34-17, pushing the team to 3-4 both overall and against the spread. Hawaii has had a decent season under Todd Graham this season, and the Rainbow Warriors have to feel that they have a good shot at making a bowl game. Hawaii has scored 26 points per game this season and has earned over 410 total yards of offense per contest as well. Hawaii's defense returned all of its starters from a year ago but it has been a tough year defensively. Hawaii has allowed 31 points per game and 443 total yards per game, much worse numbers than in 2020. 

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Hawaii is a 17.5-point favorite and the total is set at 61.5. Despite beating New Mexico State by 20 on the road last time out, Hawaii is laying less than three touchdowns at home. This goes to show how difficult it is to blow out the same opponent twice in one year, and I think this game is a lot closer than the first matchup. I think the better play for this one is on the over, as both defenses have struggled and both offenses are able to get down the field in a hurry as we have seen all year. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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