Liberty at North Texas: 10/23/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

Liberty at North Texas: 10/23/21 College Football Picks and Predictions Photo by Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

North Texas Mean Green (1-5) vs Liberty Flames (5-2)

Game Info: Saturday, October 23, 2021 at 4:00 pm (Apogee Stadium)

Betting Odds: North Texas Mean Green +21.5 -- Over/Under: 60.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Liberty Flames and North Texas Mean Green face off on Saturday in a USA Conference college football showdown at Apogee Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2018, North Texas came away with the 47-7 victory. 

The Liberty Flames have played pretty well this season sitting with a 5-2 record overall. Even though they have found success, Liberty’s last game was against Louisiana Monroe, and they lost by three points. The other loss was by three points against Syracuse. Liberty is averaging 34.3 points per game while the defense is giving up 16.7 points per game. Under center for Liberty is Malik Willis and he has thrown for 1,462 yards, 14 touchdowns, and six interceptions. He has also rushed for 655 yards and nine touchdowns. In this game, it’s going to be about the offense running up the score. . 

On the other side of this matchup is North Texas Mean Green who sit with a 1-5 record overall and that win came in the first game of the season against Northwestern State. The biggest issue for North Texas this season has been with the offense, and a few games ago against UAB they only scored six points. North Texas is averaging only 22.5 points while the defense is giving up 35 points per game. Austin Aune has been splitting time with Jace Ruder under center and it’s unclear who will start in this game. Aune started the last game but had two interceptions, so North Texas could maybe turn to Aune. 

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Liberty is 8-1 against the spread in their last nine games against teams with a losing record. North Texas is 9-25 against the spread in their last 34 games overall. The under is 5-2 in the Flames last seven games overall. The over is 5-1 in the North Texas last 6 games as a home underdog.

Liberty usually beats up on bad teams, and they are going to cover another spread against a terrible North Texas team. Look for North Texas to struggle to score again, and that will lead to Liberty winning this game in blowout fashion. Back Liberty against the spread.

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Shane’s Pick Liberty +21.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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