Ole Miss at Tennessee: 10/16/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Ole Miss at Tennessee: 10/16/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

Tennessee Volunteers (4-2) vs Ole Miss Rebels (4-1)

Game Info: Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 7:30 pm (Neyland Stadium)

Betting Odds: Tennessee Volunteers +2.5 -- Over/Under: 83 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The 13th ranked Ole Miss Rebels will travel to Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers this Saturday night in College Football action.

The 13th ranked Ole Miss Rebels improved to 4-1 on the season after a 52-51 victory over the Arkansas Razorbacks this past Saturday. In a back-and-forth offensive battle in the 2nd half, Arkansas was able to score a TD as time expired in the 4th to make it a one-point game, however, Ole Miss was able to hang on to the victory after stopping the Razorbacks game winning two-point conversation attempt. Ole Miss was outgained by Arkansas by a 676-611 margin, however won the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Rebels was QB Matt Corral who completed 14 of 21 passes for 287 yards & 2 TD’s while also rushing for 94 yards & 2 TD’s.

On the season, Ole Miss is averaging 46.2 ppg on 561.6 total yards per game (302.0 passing yds/g; 259.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Ole Miss has been led by QB Matt Corral who has completed 69.2% of his passes for 1497 yards, 12 TD, & 0 INT while also rushing for 255 yards & 8 TD’s on 58 carries. The top receiving threats for the Rebels was Dontario Drummond (26 rec, 460 yards, 5 TD), Braylon Sanders (12 rec, 292 yards, 3 TD), Jonathan Mingo (15 rec, 290 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Ole Miss backfield has been the trio of Henry Parrish Jr. (54 att, 334 yards, TD), Snoop Conner (38 att, 247 yards, 7 TD), & Jerrion Ealy (40 att, 204 yards, TD).

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Defensively, Ole Miss is allowing their opponents to average 31.0 ppg on 429.8 total yards per game (238.6 passing yds/g; 191.2 rushing yds/g).

The Tennessee Volunteers won their 2nd straight game and improved to 4-2 on the season after defeating the South Carolina Gamecocks, 45-20, this past Saturday. Tennessee came out of the gates on fire offensively and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 35-0 lead. Tennessee outgained South Carolina by a 472-370 margin while also winning the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Volunteers was QB Hendon Hooker who completed 17 of 23 passes for 225 yards & 3 TD while also rushing for 66 yards & 1 TD.

Offensively, Tennessee is averaging 41.5 ppg on 474.0 total yards per game (220.3 passing yds/g; 253.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Tennessee has been led by QB Hendon Hooker who has completed 69.6% of his passes for 1063 yards, 13 TD, & 1 INT while also rushing for 282 yards & 3 TD’s. The top receiving threats for the Volunteers have been Velus Jones Jr. (22 rec, 342 yards, 3 TD), JaVonta Payton (9 rec, 216 yards, 4 TD), Cedric Tillman (16 rec, 210 yards, 2 TD), & Jacob Warren (12 rec, 105 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Volunteers backfield has been Tiyon Evans who has 486 rushing yards & 6 TD’s on 73 carries.

Defensively, Tennessee is holding their opponents to an average of 21.5 ppg on 344.3 total yards per game (232.2 passing yds/g; 112.2 rushing yds/g).

The Rebels are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Volunteers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

This game is going to feature plenty of points, however, the Over/Under has already gone up 5 points to a total of 83 and I just think that it a bit too high. Pittsburgh, who currently has the high-scoring offense in CFB was able to defeat Tennessee by a 41-34 margin earlier in the season and as I expect about the same type of score in this one, I think the play here is to take the Under. Good Luck!

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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