Colorado State at New Mexico: 10/16/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Colorado State at New Mexico: 10/16/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

New Mexico Lobos (2-4) vs Colorado State Rams (2-3)

Game Info: Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 7:00 pm (Dreamstyle Stadium)

Betting Odds: New Mexico Lobos +10.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Colorado State Rams will travel to Dreamstyle Stadium to take on the New Mexico Lobos this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Colorado State Rams improved to 2-3 on the season after defeating the San Jose State Spartans, 32-14, this past Saturday. Colorado State dominated San Jose State on both ends of the field and had no trouble securing the victory after going into the 4th quarter with a 26-7 lead. Colorado State outgained San Jose State by a 449-267 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin. Leading the way for the Rams was QB Todd Centeio who completed 19 of 23 passes for 232 yards & 1 TD while also rushing for 37 yards.

On the season, Colorado State is averaging 22.4 ppg on 385.0 total yards per game (214.6 passing yds/g; 170.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Colorado State has been led by QB Todd Centeio who has completed 59.4% of his passes for 1039 yards, 5 TD, & 1 INT. The top receiving threats for the Rams have been Trey McBride (42 rec, 458 yards, TD), E.J. Scott (12 rec, 155 yards), Dante Wright (10 rec, 146 yards), & Ty McCullouch (7 rec, 125 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Rams backfield has been David Bailey who has rushed for 260 yards & 2 TD’s while also hauling in 7 receptions for 63 yards & 2 TD.

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Defensively, Colorado State is holding their opponents to an average of 22.0 ppg on 328.8 total yards per game (222.0 passing yds/g; 106.8 rushing yds/g).

The New Mexico Lobos lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 2-4 on the season after being defeated by the 25th ranked San Diego State Aztecs, 31-7, this past Saturday. New Mexico had no answers on the offensive end against the tough San Diego State defense and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 17-0 margin. New Mexico was outgained by San Diego State by a 336-193 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Lobos was Aaron Dumas who had 77 rushing yards on 11 carries.

On the season, New Mexico is averaging 15.2 ppg on 282.7 total yards per game (178.0 passing yds/g; 104.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New Mexico has been led by QB Terry Wilson who has completed 57.6% of his passes for 1055 yards, 7 TD, & 4 INT while rushing for 1 TD. The top receiving threats for the Lobos have been Luke Wysong (20 rec, 226 yards), Mannie Logan-Greene (14 rec, 154 yards, TD), Andrew Erickson (11 rec, 124 yards, TD), & Kyle Jarvis (7 rec, 99 yards, TD). Leading the way for the New Mexico backfield has been the duo of Aaron Dumas (57 att, 284 yards) & Bobby Cole (64 att, 236 yards, TD).

Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 27.5 ppg on 347.0 total yards per game (193.8 passing yds/g; 153.2 rushing yds/g).

The Rams are 39-19-1 ATS in their last 59 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, however, are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. The Lobos are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

New Mexico comes into this game with just the 128th ranked scoring offense and have been wiped out by their last two opponents in Air Force & San Diego State by a combined score of 69-17. Colorado State had a slow start to their season, however, the Rams have looked good as of late which included a hard-fought road loss to a very talented Iowa Hawkeyes team. Colorado State has plenty of weapons on the offensive end to put up points against the Lobos and as I think the Rams defense is going to limit the New Mexico scoring to single digits, I think the Rams to enough in this one to cover this large road spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Colorado State Rams -10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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