West Virginia at Baylor: 10/9/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Defensively, West Virginia is holding their opponents to an average of 18.0 ppg on 315.8 total yards per game (227.4 passing yds/g; 88.4 rushing yds/g).

The Baylor Bears dropped to 4-1 on the season after being defeated by the 19th ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys, 24-14, this past Saturday. Baylor could not get their offensive going against the tough Oklahoma State defense and could not fight back after the Cowboys took a 17-7 lead early in the 4th quarter. Baylor won the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin, however, was outgained by the Cowboys by a 401-280 margin. Leading the way for the Bears was RB Abram Smith who had 97 rushing yards & 1 TD on 10 carries.

On the season, Baylor is averaging 37.0 ppg on 449.0 total yards per game (208.8 passing yds/g; 240.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Baylor has been led by the RB trio of Abram Smith (67 att, 510 yards, 6 TD), Trestan Ebner (58 att, 348 yards), & Taye McWilliams (12 att, 156 yards, 2 TD). QB Gerry Bohanon has completed 68.5% of his passes for 975 yards & 7 TD while also rushing for 5 TD’s. The top receiving threats for the Bears have been R.J. Sneed (18 rec, 317 yards, TD), Tyquan Thornton (19 rec, 270 yards, 3 TD), Drew Estrada (8 rec, 114 yards), & Ben Sims (9 rec, 98 yards, 2 TD).

Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 17.4 ppg on 312.4 total yards per game (155.6 passing yds/g; 156.8 rushing yds/g).

The Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. The Bears are 16-3-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss, however, are just 6-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

West Virginia might be coming into this game with a losing record, however, this is still a talented football team that is led by their defense that ranks 27th in scoring defense & 12th in rushing defense. Baylor has played well this season on both ends of the field, however, I do think this team has overperformed a bit and is not as solid defensively at the numbers might indicate considering three of their games were against Texas State, Texas Southern, & Kansas. Baylor relies heavily on their rushing attack which is going to struggle to get anything going against the Mountaineers defense and as I think this game will remain close throughout, I think the play here is to take West Virginia and the points. Good Luck!