West Virginia at Baylor: 10/9/21 College Football Picks and Prediction
Photo by Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports
Baylor Bears (4-1) vs West Virginia Mountaineers (2-3)
Game Info: Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 12:00 pm (McLane Stadium)
Betting Odds: Baylor Bears -2.5 -- Over/Under: 44 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The West Virginia Mountaineers will travel to McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The West Virginia Mountaineers lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 2-3 on the season after being defeated by the Texas Tech Red Raiders, 23-20, this past Saturday. West Virginia was able to fight back from a 17-0 deficit to tie the game late in the 3rd quarter, however, the Mountaineers could not pull off the much-needed victory after Texas Tech hit a game-winning 32-yard FG with just :18 seconds left in regulation. West Virginia outgained by Texas Tech by a 424-346 margin and committed 1 turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Mountaineers was QB Jarret Doege who completed 25 of 33 passes for 318 yards & 1 TD.
On the season, West Virginia is averaging 30.0 ppg on 380.8 total yards per game (264.6 passing yds/g; 116.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, West Virginia has been led by QB Jarret Doege who has completed 65.3% of his passes for 1207 yards, 7 TD, & 4 INT. The top receiving threats for Doege and the Mountaineers have been Winston Wright Jr. (26 rec, 278 yards), Sam James (17 rec, 232 yards, 3 TD), Isaiah Esdale (14 rec, 223 yards, TD), & Bryce Ford-Wheaton (15 rec, 219 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Mountaineers backfield has been the duo of Leddie Brown (83 att, 378 yards, 6 TD) & Garrett Greene (28 att, 175 yards, 3 TD).
Defensively, West Virginia is holding their opponents to an average of 18.0 ppg on 315.8 total yards per game (227.4 passing yds/g; 88.4 rushing yds/g).
The Baylor Bears dropped to 4-1 on the season after being defeated by the 19th ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys, 24-14, this past Saturday. Baylor could not get their offensive going against the tough Oklahoma State defense and could not fight back after the Cowboys took a 17-7 lead early in the 4th quarter. Baylor won the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin, however, was outgained by the Cowboys by a 401-280 margin. Leading the way for the Bears was RB Abram Smith who had 97 rushing yards & 1 TD on 10 carries.
On the season, Baylor is averaging 37.0 ppg on 449.0 total yards per game (208.8 passing yds/g; 240.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Baylor has been led by the RB trio of Abram Smith (67 att, 510 yards, 6 TD), Trestan Ebner (58 att, 348 yards), & Taye McWilliams (12 att, 156 yards, 2 TD). QB Gerry Bohanon has completed 68.5% of his passes for 975 yards & 7 TD while also rushing for 5 TD’s. The top receiving threats for the Bears have been R.J. Sneed (18 rec, 317 yards, TD), Tyquan Thornton (19 rec, 270 yards, 3 TD), Drew Estrada (8 rec, 114 yards), & Ben Sims (9 rec, 98 yards, 2 TD).
Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 17.4 ppg on 312.4 total yards per game (155.6 passing yds/g; 156.8 rushing yds/g).
The Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. The Bears are 16-3-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss, however, are just 6-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
West Virginia might be coming into this game with a losing record, however, this is still a talented football team that is led by their defense that ranks 27th in scoring defense & 12th in rushing defense. Baylor has played well this season on both ends of the field, however, I do think this team has overperformed a bit and is not as solid defensively at the numbers might indicate considering three of their games were against Texas State, Texas Southern, & Kansas. Baylor relies heavily on their rushing attack which is going to struggle to get anything going against the Mountaineers defense and as I think this game will remain close throughout, I think the play here is to take West Virginia and the points. Good Luck!