New Mexico State at Nevada: 10/9/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

New Mexico State at Nevada: 10/9/21 College Football Picks and Predictions Photo by Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Nevada Wolf Pack (3-1) vs New Mexico State Aggies (1-5)

Game Info: Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 10:30 pm (Clarence Mackay Stadium)

Betting Odds: Nevada Wolf Pack -33.5 -- Over/Under: 62.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New Mexico State Aggies and Nevada Wolf Pack face off on Saturday in a Week 6 college football showdown at Mackay Stadium. The last time these two teams played was in 2011 and Nevada won 48-34. 

The New Mexico State Aggies are having another down season sitting with a 1-5 record, but they are 4-2 against the spread. The Aggies last game was against Houston, and they were competitive, but the defense wasn’t good enough giving up 37 points, and that led to the loss. New Mexico is averaging 22.1 points while the defense is giving up 34.1 points per game. The offense has had issues getting going early in the game, averaging only four points per game in the 1st quarter. Under center for New Mexico State is Jonah Johnson who has thrown for 1,024 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions. 

On the other side of this matchup is Nevada who sits with a 3-1 record and the only loss came against Kansas State. In the last game against Boise State, the offense was strong scoring 41 points which led to the 10 point victory. Nevada is averaging 32.25 points per game while the defense is giving up 24 points. Under center for Nevada is Carson Strong and he has thrown for 1,218 yards, eight touchdowns, and two interceptions. Toa Taua has been the top back rushing for 279 yards and two touchdowns. 

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New Mexico State is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games. Nevada is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games. The over is 7-3 in New Mexico State’s last ten games overall. The over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. The over is 3-0-1 in Nevada's last four home games. The under is 32-13 in Nevada's last 45 games as a favorite. 

Nevada is the much better team, and they should win easily, but this is too many points. Nevada’s offense has actually been decent this season and they will score 20 points, which will be enough to cover the spread. Back New Mexico State against the spread. In terms of the total, it's a lean to the over. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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