LSU at Kentucky: 10/9/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

LSU at Kentucky: 10/9/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

Kentucky Wildcats (5-0) vs LSU Tigers (3-2)

Game Info: Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 7:30 pm (Kroger Field)

Betting Odds: Kentucky Wildcats -4 -- Over/Under: 51.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The LSU Tigers will travel to Kroger Field to take on the 16th ranked Kentucky Wildcats this Saturday night in College Football action.

The LSU Tigers had their 3-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 3-2 on the season after being defeated by the 22nd ranked Auburn Tigers, 24-19, this past Saturday. LSU led by a 19-10 margin entering into the 4th quarter, however, the Tigers defense struggled late and allowed Auburn to take the lead for good on a 1-yard TD rush by Jarquez Hunter with just 3:11 left in the game. LSU was outgained by Auburn by a 453-358 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Tigers was WR Kayshon Boutte who had 6 receptions for 127 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, LSU is averaging 31.4 ppg on 373.8 total yards per game (303.2 passing yds/g; 70.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, LSU has been led by QB Max Johnson who has completed 62.4% of his passes for 1468 yards, 16 TD, & 4 INT. The top receiving threats for Johnson and the Tigers have been Kayshon Boutte (30 rec, 435 yards, 9 TD), Jack Bech (16 rec, 252 yards, TD), & Deion Smith (10 rec, 177 yards, 2 TD).

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Defensively, LSU is holding their opponents to an average of 23.0 ppg on 367.0 total yards per game (248.0 passing yds/g; 119.0 rushing yds/g).

The 16th ranked Kentucky Wildcats improved to 5-0 on the season after upsetting the 10th ranked Florida Gators, 20-13, this past Saturday. Kentucky did an outstanding job of limiting the high-scoring offensive attack of the Gators and was able to hold on late for the victory after a 9-yard TD run by Chris Rodriguez Jr. gave the Wildcats a 20-10 lead with 11:32 left in the 4th quarter. Kentucky was outgained by Florida by a 382-224 margin and forced 1 turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Wildcats was RB Chris Rodriguez Jr. who had 99 rushing yards & 1 TD on 19 carries.

On the season, Kentucky is averaging 28.8 ppg on 397.4 total yards per game (208.2 passing yds/g; 189.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Kentucky has been led by RB Chris Rodriguez Jr who has 621 yards & 4 TD’s on 104 carries. QB Will Levis has completed 61.9% of his passes for 989 yards, 8 TD, & 6 INT. The top receiving threats for the Wildcats have been Wan’Dale Robinson (29 rec, 467 yards, 3 TD), Josh Ali (17 rec, 248 yards, TD), Isaiah Epps (5 rec, 104 yards, TD), & Izayah Cummings (3 rec, 53 yards, TD).

Defensively, Kentucky is holding their opponents to an average of 16.8 ppg on 284.4 total yards per game (180.2 passing yds/g; 104.2 rushing yds/g).

The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a TS loss and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. The Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 October games and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games.

Kentucky is coming off a very nice win and is always a tough team to beat at home, however, I’m expecting a bit of a let down from a Wildcats team that still can really struggle to score the football. Kentucky defense is strong, but they can be a bit vulnerable against opposing passing attacks as Missouri’s Connor Bazelak showed earlier this season in a 4-TD performance at Kentucky. LSU has a solid passing attack led by a QB that can find the end zone and if Johnson limits turnovers in this one, I think LSU hands Kentucky their first loss of the season. Take LSU on the money line.

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Brett’s Pick LSU Tigers - M/L

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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