New Mexico State at San Jose State - 10/2/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

New Mexico State at San Jose State - 10/2/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

San Jose State Spartans (2-2) vs New Mexico State Aggies (1-4)

Game Info: Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 10:30 pm (CEFCU Stadium)

Betting Odds: San Jose State Spartans -27.5 -- Over/Under: 52.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New Mexico State Aggies and San Jose State Spartans meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at CEFCU Stadium. The New Mexico State Aggies need a win here to rebound from a sluggish 1-4 record. The San Jose State Spartans look for a win to get a game above a .500 record.

The New Mexico State Aggies haven’t won a road game since September of 2018. Jonah Johnson is completing 54 percent of his passes for 724 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. Jared Wyatt and Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda have combined for 465 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Thomaz Whitford has nine receptions. The New Mexico State Aggies ground game is averaging 97 yards per contest, and Juwaun Price leads the way with 228 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 33.6 points and 458.8 yards per game. Joshua Ferguson leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 30 tackles, Chris Ojoh has four sacks and D.J. McCullough has two interceptions.

The San Jose State Spartans haven’t lost a home game since November of 2019. Nick Starkel is completing 50.4 percent of his passes for 992 yards, six touchdowns and five interceptions. Isaiah Hamilton and Derrick Desse Jr. have combined for 347 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Charles Ross has 10 receptions. The San Jose State Spartans ground game is averaging 79.3 yards per contest, and Tyler Nevens leads the way with 243 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, San Jose State is allowing 20 points and 345.5 yards per game. Kyle Harmon leads the San Jose State Spartans with 34 tackles, Viliami Fehoko has three sacks and Nehemiah Shelton has four pass deflections.

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The Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Spartans are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games overall. The under is 9-1 in Spartans last 10 games overall. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The New Mexico State Aggies don't do much well on either side of the ball, and yet they hung around with San Diego State, New Mexico and Hawaii. The San Jose State Spartans are 112th in total offense and 117th in scoring offense, and they've been held to single-digit points in two of their first four games. San Jose State is the better team and has a clear edge on the defensive side, but this is a boatload of points. I'm not convinced the Spartans have the offensive horses to pull away. Give me the Aggies and the boatload of points.

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Randy’s Pick New Mexico State Aggies +27.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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