Michigan at Wisconsin: 10/2/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Michigan at Wisconsin: 10/2/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by MARK HOFFMAN/MILWAUKEE JOURNAL SENTINEL via Imagn Content Services, LLC

Wisconsin Badgers (1-2) vs Michigan Wolverines (4-0)

Game Info: Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 12:00 pm (Camp Randall Stadium)

Betting Odds: Wisconsin Badgers -2 -- Over/Under: 43.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The 14th ranked Michigan Wolverines will travel to Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The 14th ranked Michigan Wolverines improved to 4-0 on the season after defeating the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 20-13, this past Saturday. Michigan had trouble generating offense against Rutgers, however, was able to hold on to a 20-3 halftime lead for the victory. Michigan was outgained by Rutgers by a 352-275 margin, however, did win the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Wolverines was RB Hassan Haskins who had 41 rushing yards & 2 TD’s on 12 carries.

On the season, Michigan is averaging 40.3 ppg on 454.8 total yards per game (164.0 passing yds/g; 290.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Michigan has been led by the rushing trio of Blake Corum (69 att, 475 yards, 7 TD), Hassan Haskins (61 att, 322 yards, 6 TD), & Donovan Edwards (15 att, 117 yards, 2 TD). QB Cade McNamara has completed 62.3% of his passes for 534 yards & 3 TD’s. The top receiving threats for the Wolverines have been Cornelius Johnson (8 rec, 198 yards, TD), Daylen Baldwin (5 rec, 99 yards, TD), & Erick Ali (6 rec, 69 yards).

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Defensively, Michigan is holding their opponents to an average of 11.8 ppg on 304.8 total yards per game (171.5 passing yds/g; 133.3 rushing yds/g).

The Wisconsin Badgers dropped to 1-2 on the season after being defeated by the 12th ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 41-13, this past Saturday. Wisconsin trailed by just a 13-10 margin early in the 4th quarter, however, the flood gates opened for Notre Dame from there and the Fighting Irish were easily able to pull away after getting pick-sixes by both Jack Kiser & Drew White late in the game.  Wisconsin outgained Notre Dame by a 318-248 margin, however, lost the turnover battle by a 5-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Badgers was WR Kendric Pryor who had 6 receptions for 69 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, Wisconsin is averaging 19.0 ppg on 400.3 total yards per game (197.0 passing yds/g; 203.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Wisconsin has been led by the backfield duo of Chez Mellusi (69 att, 319 yards, 2 TD), Isaac Guerendo (21 att, 153 yards, TD), & Jalen Berger (16 att, 70 yards, TD). QB Graham Mertz has struggled so far this season as he comes into this game completing just 56.8% of his passes for 566 yards, 1 TD, & 6 INT. The top receiving threats for the Badgers have been Danny Davis III (16 rec, 193 yards), Kendrick Pryor (11 rec, 134 yards, TD), & Jake Ferguson (13 rec, 80 yards).

Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing their opponents to average 21.3 ppg on 212.3 total yds/g (187.3 passing yds/g; 25.0 rushing yds/g).

The Wolverines are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 October games, however, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Badgers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Michigan has had an outstanding season to date, led by their defense, however, despite their currently records/rankings, I do think Wisconsin has more talent. Michigan is going to have trouble getting anything rolling on the offensive end against the tough Wisconsin defense that ranks 1st in the nation in rushing defense. Wisconsin has really struggled with turnovers this season which has been the primary reason that they are just 1-2, however, between the fact that I think Wisconsin focuses on ball security and that their rushing attack will be able to control the time of possession, I’m taking the Badgers to get back on track in this one and cover this small spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Wisconsin Badgers

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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