Tennessee at Florida: 9/25/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Tennessee at Florida: 9/25/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Brad McClenny/The Gainesville Sun via Imagn Content Services, LLC

Florida Gators (2-1) vs Tennessee Volunteers (2-1)

Game Info: Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 7:00 pm (Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)

Betting Odds: Florida Gators -18.5 -- Over/Under: 63 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tennessee Volunteers will travel to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on the 11th ranked Florida Gators this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Tennessee Volunteers improved to 2-1 on the season after defeating the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles, 56-0, this past Saturday. Tennessee had no trouble taking care of business against the overmatched Golden Eagles and easily cruised to victory in the 2nd half after going into halftime with a 28-0 lead. Tennessee outgained Tennessee Tech by a 417-179 margin and won the turnover battle by a 4-1 margin. Leading the way for the Volunteers was QB Hendon Hooker who completed 17 of 25 passes for 199 yards & 3 TD’s while also racking up 64 rushing yards & 1 TD.

On the season, Tennessee is averaging 42.7 ppg on 422.0 total yards per game (199.0 passing yds/g; 223.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Tennessee has been led by QB Hendon Hooker who has completed 70.2% of his passes for 392 yards, 5 TD, & 1 INT. Hooker is also a threat with his legs has he has compiled 113 rushing yards & 1 TD on 18 carries. The top receiving threats for the Volunteers have been Velus Jones Jr. (6 rec, 96 yards, TD), Jimmy Calloway (4 rec, 81 yards, TD), Jacob Warren (9 rec, 69 yards, 2 TD), & Cedric Tillman (3 rec, 68 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Tennessee backfield has been Tiyon Evans (31 att, 161 yards, 2 TD), Jabari Small (30 att, 135 yards, 2 TD), & Jaylen Wright (24 att, 72 yards, 3 TD).

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Defensively, Tennessee is holding their opponents to an average of 15.7 ppg on 265.0 total yards per game (210.7 passing yds/g; 54.3 rushing yds/g).

The 11th ranked Florida Gators dropped to 2-1 on the season after being defeated by the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide, 31-29, this past Saturday. Florida fought back from an early 21-3 deficit to make it a game against the Crimson Tide, however, Florida couldn’t convert the two-point conversation to tie the game after a 17-yard TD run by Dameon Pierce and Alabama was basically able to run out the clock in the ensuing possession. Florida outgained Alabama by a 440-331 margin and committed 1 turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Gators was QB Emory Jones who completed 18 of 28 passes for 195 yards & 1 INT while also rushing for 77 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, Florida is averaging 35.3 ppg on 553.0 total yards per game (217.0 passing yds/g; 336.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Florida has been led by their dual QB’s Emory Jones (63.6 Comp %, 459 yards, 2 TD, 5 INT; 42 att, 231 yards, 2 TD) & Anthony Richardson (54.5 Comp %, 192 yards, 2 TD; 11 att, 275 yards, 2 TD). Richardson missed last week’s game against Alabama due to injury, however, early indications is that he will be able to go against Tennessee. In the backfield for Florida has been the duo of Malik Davis (31 att, 212 yards, 2 TD) & Dameon Pierce (18 att, 110 yards, 5 TD). The top receiving threats for the Gators have been Jacob Copeland (7 rec, 200 yards, 2 TD), Xzavier Henderson (5 rec, 86 yards, TD), & Rick Wells (7 rec, 82 yards, TD).

Defensively, Florida is holding their opponents to an average of 21.7 ppg on 327.0 total yards per game (229.7 passing yds/g; 97.3 rushing yds/g).

The Volunteers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Gators are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.

Tennessee comes into this game with a winning record and some solid numbers, however, those numbers have been inflated due to their games against Bowling Green & Tennessee Tech and I think the Volunteers more look like the team that lost 41-34 at home to Pittsburgh in Week 2. Florida has one of the best rushing attacks in the country and must be encouraged by how the defense was able to keep them in the game last week, holding the explosive Alabama to just 10 points after the 1st quarter. Florida still can still make it to the CFB playoffs as a close loss to Alabama isn’t going to hurt them and between the fact that I think the Gators defense gives the Volunteers trouble and that Florida gets back Anthony Richardson, I’m taking Florida to win by three TD’s and cover this spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Florida Gators -18.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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