SMU at TCU: 9/25/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

SMU at TCU: 9/25/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

TCU Horned Frogs (2-0) vs SMU Mustangs (3-0)

Game Info: Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 12:00 pm (Amon G. Carter Stadium)

Betting Odds: TCU Horned Frogs -9.5 -- Over/Under: 65.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: FS1 Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The SMU Mustangs will travel to Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on the TCU Horned Frogs this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The SMU Mustangs improved to 3-0 on the season after defeating the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, 39-37, this past Saturday. SMU looked like they were going to suffer their first loss of the season after a 47-yard FG by Louisiana Tech gave the Bulldogs a 37-33 lead with just 36 seconds left in regulation, however, the Mustangs were able to pull off the miracle win on a 33-yard TD pass to Reggie Robinson Jr. as time expired. SMU outgained Louisiana Tech by a 578-483 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Mustangs was QB Tanner Mordecai who completed 36 of 48 passes for 395 yards & 5 TD’s.

On the season, SMU is averaging 43.3 ppg on 534.7 total yards per game (341.7 passing yds/g; 193.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, SMU has been led by QB Tanner Mordecai who has completed 73.0% of his passes for 1023 yards, 16 TD, & 2 INT. The top receiving threats for the Mustangs have been Danny Gray (16 rec, 228 yards, 4 TD), Rashee Rice (10 rec, 207 yards, 4 TD), Grant Calcaterra (12 rec, 193 yards, 3 TD), & Reggie Robinson Jr.  (14 rec, 171 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Mustangs backfield has been the duo of Ulysses Bentley IV (33 att, 250 yards, TD) & Tre Siggers (34 att, 147 yards).

Get 15% OFF ALL Premium Pick and Package Purchases in September use code: win15 (no limit) !!!!!

Defensively, SMU is holding their opponents to an average of 19.3 ppg on 440.3 total yards per game (316.0 passing yds/g; 124.3 rushing yds/g).

The TCU Horned Frogs improved to 2-0 on the season after defeating the California Golden Bears, 34-32, on September 11th. TCU trailed by a 19-14 margin at halftime, however, the Horned Frogs were outstanding offensively in the 2nd half and was able to hold off the Golden Bears after a 9-yard TD run by Max Duggan gave TCU a 34-26 lead. TCU outgained California by a 505-442 margin, however, did lose the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Horned Frogs was RB Zach Evans who had 190 rushing yards & 1 TD on 22 carries.

On the season, TCU is averaging 39.5 ppg on 468.0 total yards per game (243.5 passing yds/g; 224.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, TCU is led by QB Max Duggan who has completed 62.0% of his passes for 441 yards, 4 TD, & 2 INT while also rushing for 80 yards & 2 TD’s. The top receivers for the Horned Frogs have been Quentin Johnston (9 rec, 133 yards, 2 TD), Derius Davis (5 rec, 86 yards), Blair Conwright (5 rec, 78 yards, TD), & JD Spielman (3 rec, 35 yards, TD). Leading the way for the TCU backfield has been Zach Evans who has 217 rushing yards & 2 TD’s on 27 carries.

Defensively, TCU is holding their opponents to an average of 17.5 ppg on 289.5 total yards per game (192.5 passing yds/g; 97.0 rushing yds/g).

The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The Horned Frogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

TCU is a very good football team that will be tough to beat on the road, however, the one weakness that the Horned Frogs have is in their secondary and that is never a good thing when you’re going up against SMU. SMU comes into this game with the 11th ranked passing offense in College Football and as I think Tanner Mordecai will have no trouble throwing 3+ TD passes in this one, I think that SMU does enough with the points to cover. Good Luck!

Risk Free Bets, Free Bets and Deposit Bonuses CLICK HERE!!!!

Brett’s Pick SMU Mustangs +9.5

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.