Indiana at WKU: 9/25/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Indiana at WKU: 9/25/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports

WKU Hilltoppers (1-1) vs Indiana Hoosiers (1-2)

Game Info: Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 8:00 pm (Houchens-Smith Stadium)

Betting Odds: WKU Hilltoppers +9 -- Over/Under: 64 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Indiana Hoosiers will travel Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Indiana Hoosiers dropped to 1-2 on the season after being defeated by the 8th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats, 38-24, this past Saturday. Indiana went into halftime with a 14-10 lead, however, the defense struggled in the 2nd half and allowed Cincinnati to pull away for victory after a 19-yard TD reception by the Bearcats Alec Pierce gave Cincinnati a 30-24 lead with 12:13 left in the 4th quarter. Indiana outgained Cincinnati by a 376-328 margin, however, lost the turnover battle by a 4-2 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Hoosiers was WR D.J. Matthews Jr. who had 5 receptions for 120 yards.

On the season, Indiana is averaging 28.7 ppg on 315.7 total yards per game (179.7 passing yds/g; 136.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Indiana has been led by QB Michael Penix Jr. who had completed 48.3% of his passes for 448 yards, 4 TD, & 6 INT while also rushing for a TD. The top receiving threats for the Hoosiers have been D.J. Matthews Jr. (11 rec, 150 yards), Ty Fryfogle (11 rec, 126 yards, TD), & Peyton Hendershot (9 rec, 86 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Indiana backfield has been the duo of Stephen Carr (62 att, 227 yards, TD) & Tim Baldwin Jr. (23 att, 67 yards).

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Defensively, Indiana is allowing their opponents to average 28.7 ppg on 297.3 total yards per game (183.7 passing yds/g; 113.7 rushing yds/g).

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers dropped to 1-1 on the season after being defeated by the Army Black Knights, 38-35, on September 11th. Western Kentucky fought back from a 35-14 deficit early in the 4th quarter to make it a game late, however, the Hilltoppers couldn’t recover the onside kick after an Adam Cofield 2-yard TD run made it a three-point game with just :22 seconds left in regulation. Western Kentucky outgained Army by a 477-416 margin and committed 1 turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Hilltoppers was QB Bailey Zappe who completed 28 of 40 passes for 435 yards, 3 TD, & 1 INT.

On the season, Western Kentucky is averaging 47.0 ppg on 532.0 total yards per game (456.5 passing yds/g; 75.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Western Kentucky has been led by QB Bailey Zappe who has completed 74.7% of his passes for 859 yards, 10 TD, & 2 INT. The top receiving threats for the Hilltoppers have been Jerreth Sterns (16 rec, 278 yards, 4 TD), Mitchell Tinsley (10 rec, 151 yards, 2 TD), Craig Burt (4 rec, 116 yards, TD), & Malachi Corley (11 rec, 114 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Hilltoppers backfield has been the duo of Kye Robichaux (9 att, 44 yards) & Adam Cofield (13 att, 42 yards, TD).

Defensively, Western Kentucky is allowing their opponents to average 29.5 ppg on 406.0 total yards per game (136.0 passing yds/g; 270.0 rushing yds/g).

The Hoosiers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Hilltoppers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September, however, are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Indiana is a solid team, however, they have struggled against top-tier competition in Iowa & Cincinnati and it’s a bit concerning to see QB Michael Penix Jr. struggled as much as he has this season. Western Kentucky battled a very good Army team on the road and has one of the better passing attacks in CFB, led by Bailey Zappe. I think this is going to be a high-scoring, competitive game and as I think the Hilltoppers will have some success against the Indiana defense at home, I’m going to take the Hilltoppers and the points while also putting something on the over. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +9 / Over 64

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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